Game number 3

The score (after 2 games) is: kitwoolsey 1, juggler 1 (match to 7 points)

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Match Information

Date	Juni 27, 2008
Event	Davide's Spring Tournament 2008
Round	Consolation 3
Place	FIBS
Annotator	juggler
Comment	I was to play Kit Woolsey in round 3 of the consolation of Davide's Spring Tournament 2008. While I was looking forward to playing Kit I was also swearing under my breath why it had to be before the final ;-). Turned out that my dice outperformed his play.

Move number 1: kitwoolsey to play 46

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 167, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MAD6ABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 24/18 13/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18 13/9	+0,052
			0,515 0,140 0,006 - 0,485 0,135 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/2 6/2	+0,038 ( -0,014)
			0,505 0,157 0,008 - 0,495 0,141 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/14	+0,024 ( -0,028)
			0,511 0,121 0,004 - 0,489 0,131 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/20 13/7	-0,022 ( -0,074)
			0,494 0,137 0,006 - 0,506 0,135 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/9 13/7	-0,046 ( -0,098)
			0,487 0,147 0,007 - 0,513 0,149 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 2: juggler to play 22

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 157, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPhQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAnpABAACAAA

• juggler moves 24/16*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,037	(Money: -0,036)
	0,485 0,135 0,004 - 0,515 0,140 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,052
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,052
3.	Double, take	-0,441	-0,389
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27,0%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/16*	+0,148
			0,540 0,132 0,005 - 0,460 0,115 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/22(2) 6/4(2)	+0,109 ( -0,039)
			0,519 0,132 0,003 - 0,481 0,091 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	+0,087 ( -0,061)
			0,519 0,146 0,005 - 0,481 0,123 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/20(2)	+0,058 ( -0,090)
			0,509 0,091 0,002 - 0,491 0,067 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/22(2) 13/11(2)	+0,014 ( -0,134)
			0,497 0,123 0,003 - 0,503 0,103 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 3: kitwoolsey to play 14

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 173, juggler 159
Position ID: 4HPwESDgc/AgUA Match ID: MIHwABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey moves bar/24 13/9*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,102	(Money: -0,100)
	0,460 0,115 0,003 - 0,540 0,132 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,148
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,148
3.	Double, take	-0,600	-0,452
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24 13/9*	-0,024
			0,495 0,144 0,007 - 0,505 0,149 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/20	-0,281 ( -0,257)
			0,436 0,107 0,003 - 0,564 0,160 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/21 24/23	-0,289 ( -0,265)
			0,430 0,105 0,003 - 0,570 0,159 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/21 6/5	-0,342 ( -0,319)
			0,429 0,106 0,004 - 0,571 0,187 0,012
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/24 18/14	-0,357 ( -0,333)
			0,415 0,103 0,003 - 0,585 0,167 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 4: juggler to play 43

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 168, juggler 168
Position ID: 4HPhIDDgc/ABUA Match ID: cAnuABAACAAA

• juggler moves bar/21 24/21

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,016	(Money: +0,016)
	0,505 0,149 0,007 - 0,495 0,144 0,007
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,024
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,976
3.	Double, take	-0,313	-0,337
Proper cube action:		No double, take (25,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21 24/21	+0,131
			0,531 0,129 0,005 - 0,469 0,103 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/18	-0,039 ( -0,170)
			0,497 0,127 0,007 - 0,503 0,152 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/22 24/20	-0,080 ( -0,211)
			0,487 0,125 0,007 - 0,513 0,156 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/22 13/9	-0,093 ( -0,224)
			0,482 0,138 0,008 - 0,518 0,165 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/21 13/10	-0,105 ( -0,236)
			0,480 0,131 0,007 - 0,520 0,161 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 5: kitwoolsey to play 52

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 168, juggler 161
Position ID: 4HPwAQbgc+EgMA Match ID: MIHqABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 24/22 18/13

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,095	(Money: -0,091)
	0,469 0,103 0,002 - 0,531 0,129 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,131
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,131
3.	Double, take	-0,570	-0,439
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/22 18/13	-0,228
			0,447 0,101 0,002 - 0,553 0,148 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	18/13 9/7	-0,234 ( -0,006)
			0,444 0,099 0,002 - 0,556 0,143 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	18/11	-0,277 ( -0,050)
			0,435 0,107 0,003 - 0,565 0,158 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/8 9/7	-0,318 ( -0,090)
			0,429 0,104 0,003 - 0,571 0,168 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	9/2	-0,326 ( -0,098)
			0,427 0,099 0,002 - 0,573 0,167 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 6: juggler to play 61

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 161, juggler 161
Position ID: 4HPhASTgc/ABBg Match ID: cAnnABAACAAA

• juggler moves 13/7 8/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,161	(Money: +0,155)
	0,553 0,148 0,005 - 0,447 0,101 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,228
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,772
3.	Double, take	+0,011	-0,216
Proper cube action:		No double, take (21,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/7 8/7	+0,265
			0,565 0,138 0,004 - 0,435 0,087 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/6	+0,081 ( -0,184)
			0,517 0,125 0,003 - 0,483 0,102 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	8/1*	-0,044 ( -0,309)
			0,486 0,117 0,003 - 0,514 0,117 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	13/7 6/5	-0,091 ( -0,356)
			0,478 0,114 0,004 - 0,522 0,134 0,004
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	21/14	-0,139 ( -0,403)
			0,477 0,099 0,003 - 0,523 0,156 0,004
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 7: kitwoolsey to play 62

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 161, juggler 154
Position ID: 4NvgAQbgc+EBJA Match ID: MAHrABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 13/7 9/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,190	(Money: -0,183)
	0,435 0,087 0,002 - 0,565 0,138 0,004
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,265
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,265
3.	Double, take	-0,790	-0,525
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/7 9/7	-0,195
			0,459 0,086 0,001 - 0,541 0,135 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/22 9/3	-0,259 ( -0,064)
			0,427 0,083 0,001 - 0,573 0,108 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/22 13/7	-0,358 ( -0,163)
			0,404 0,091 0,001 - 0,596 0,132 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/11 9/3	-0,393 ( -0,198)
			0,410 0,091 0,002 - 0,590 0,171 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	22/20 9/3	-0,399 ( -0,203)
			0,414 0,084 0,002 - 0,586 0,167 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 8: juggler to play 61

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 153, juggler 154
Position ID: 4NvBASTg2+ABBg Match ID: cAnnABAACAAA

• juggler moves 13/7 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,138	(Money: +0,132)
	0,541 0,135 0,002 - 0,459 0,086 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,195
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,805
3.	Double, take	-0,055	-0,251
Proper cube action:		No double, take (23,8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/6	+0,118
			0,523 0,120 0,002 - 0,477 0,082 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	13/7 6/5	+0,089 ( -0,029)
			0,517 0,126 0,003 - 0,483 0,095 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	21/20 13/7	-0,010 ( -0,128)
			0,504 0,123 0,004 - 0,496 0,139 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	21/14	-0,019 ( -0,137)
			0,508 0,111 0,003 - 0,492 0,145 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	21/20 21/15	-0,027 ( -0,144)
			0,509 0,106 0,003 - 0,491 0,145 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

A slightly desperate move, and not quite gnubg's pick. I tried to make a move that yields the greatest benefit if successful. It worked.

Move number 9: kitwoolsey to play 55

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 153, juggler 147
Position ID: 0LvBAQbg28EBJA Match ID: MIH2ABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 13/3 8/3 6/1

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,069	(Money: -0,065)
	0,483 0,095 0,002 - 0,517 0,126 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,089
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,089
3.	Double, take	-0,500	-0,411
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27,4%)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,456)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/3 8/3 6/1	-0,505
			0,380 0,096 0,001 - 0,620 0,177 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/3 6/1(2)	-0,505 ( -0,001)
			0,380 0,095 0,001 - 0,620 0,176 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/3(2)	-0,543 ( -0,038)
			0,365 0,085 0,001 - 0,635 0,156 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/2(2) 6/1(2)	-0,543 ( -0,038)
			0,371 0,093 0,001 - 0,629 0,178 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/3 13/8(2)	-0,558 ( -0,053)
			0,360 0,082 0,001 - 0,640 0,153 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

I think this is the worst roll. If in the next move I can make the 5pt and Kit can't anchor, then I've lost my market -- but that doesn't quite make it a cube yet for me after this 55. Too many contingencies.

Move number 10: juggler to play 31

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 133, juggler 147
Position ID: GW+DASTQu8EBBg Match ID: cInlABAACAAA

• juggler moves 13/10 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,334	(Money: +0,324)
	0,620 0,177 0,004 - 0,380 0,096 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,505
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,495
3.	Double, take	+0,426	-0,079
Proper cube action:		No double, take (13,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/10 6/5	+0,759
			0,680 0,184 0,005 - 0,320 0,078 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/5 6/3*	+0,644 ( -0,115)
			0,657 0,194 0,006 - 0,343 0,099 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	7/4 6/5	+0,553 ( -0,206)
			0,641 0,174 0,005 - 0,359 0,105 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/4 5/4	+0,439 ( -0,320)
			0,606 0,174 0,005 - 0,394 0,088 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	8/7 8/5	+0,315 ( -0,444)
			0,579 0,147 0,003 - 0,421 0,089 0,001
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 11: kitwoolsey to play 43

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 133, juggler 143
Position ID: sLuJAQYZb4MBJA Match ID: MAHuABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 24/21 6/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,483	(Money: -0,469)
	0,320 0,078 0,002 - 0,680 0,184 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,759
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,759
3.	Double, take	-1,603	-0,845
Proper cube action:		No double, take (32,4%)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,319)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	8/1	-1,000
			0,268 0,074 0,001 - 0,732 0,225 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	24/21 6/2	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,287 0,088 0,003 - 0,713 0,297 0,011
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/3 6/2	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,251 0,070 0,001 - 0,749 0,257 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/6	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,236 0,062 0,001 - 0,764 0,238 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/21 7/3	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,252 0,074 0,002 - 0,748 0,319 0,018
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 12: juggler doubles to 2

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 126, juggler 143
Position ID: NW6DAQqwu4kBBg Match ID: cBHgABAACAAA

• kitwoolsey rejects

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,672	(Money: +0,644)
	0,713 0,297 0,011 - 0,287 0,088 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	Double, pass	+1,000
2.	Double, take	+1,197	+0,197
3.	No double	+0,856	-0,144
Proper cube action:		Double, pass

juggler wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 3
Player	kitwoolsey	juggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves	6	5
Unforced moves	6	5
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	6	5
Moves marked doubtful	0	0
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error rate (total)	+0,000	-0,029 ( -0,197%)
Error rate (per move)	+0,0	-5,8 ( -0,039%)
Chequerplay rating	Supernatural	Expert
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	0	0
Rolls unmarked	4	5
Rolls marked unlucky	2	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	-0,815 ( -5,564%)	+0,146 ( +1,000%)
Luck rate (per move)	-135,8 ( -0,927%)	+29,3 ( +0,200%)
Luck rating	Haaa-haaa	Good dice, man!
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	6	6
Close or actual cube decisions	1	2
Doubles	0	1
Takes	0	0
Passes	1	0
Missed doubles (below CP)	0	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	0	0
Error rate (total)	+0,000	+0,000
Error rate (per cube decision)	+0,0	+0,0
Cube decision rating	Supernatural	Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	+0,000	-0,029 ( -0,197%)
Error rate (per decision)	+0,0	-4,1 ( -0,028%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	+0,0	-2,6
Overall rating	Supernatural	World class
Actual result	-6,83%	+6,83%
Luck adjusted result	-0,26%	+0,26%

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