Snowie Professional Edition Version 3.2 HTML Export Game 03

Move 1 Green
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 167

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	24/23 13/9	-0,059
			0,4% 12,9% 49,5% 50,5% 12,3% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	13/8	-0,082 (-0,023)
			0,4% 12,2% 49,1% 50,9% 12,6% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	24/20 24/23	-0,083 (-0,024)
			0,4% 11,2% 49,3% 50,7% 12,4% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	13/9 6/5	-0,099 (-0,040)
			0,4% 13,1% 48,5% 51,5% 13,0% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	24/20 6/5	-0,114 (-0,055)
			0,4% 11,7% 48,5% 51,5% 13,2% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 1 White
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 162

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	24/16*	0,222
			0,4% 12,9% 55,4% 44,6% 10,9% 0,3%
	2	2	8/3 6/3	-0,026 (-0,248)
			0,5% 12,4% 47,9% 52,1% 14,0% 0,6%
	3	1	24/21 13/8	-0,062 (-0,285)
			0,3% 10,5% 47,6% 52,4% 14,0% 0,4%
	4	1	13/8 13/10	-0,092 (-0,314)
			0,4% 11,7% 46,1% 53,9% 14,4% 0,5%
	5	1	13/10 6/1*	-0,092 (-0,314)
			0,4% 12,0% 46,1% 53,9% 14,9% 0,5%

Move 2 Green
		Pip: 159

		Pip: 178

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	bar/20 24/23	-0,298
			0,1% 10,6% 42,8% 57,2% 13,6% 0,5%
			Live cube rollout: -0,297
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,178 �0,034, - live cube: -0,297 �0,035. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 250 games (equiv. 6128 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
	2	R	bar/20 6/5	-0,339 (-0,041)
			0,7% 11,1% 42,5% 57,5% 16,6% 0,9%
			Live cube rollout: -0,391
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,206 �0,033, - live cube: -0,391 �0,034. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 250 games (equiv. 6244 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
	3	3	bar/24 13/8	-0,351 (-0,053)
			0,3% 10,1% 41,4% 58,6% 13,7% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	bar/24 23/18	-0,353 (-0,055)
			0,3% 9,5% 41,9% 58,1% 14,2% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	5	R	bar/20 23/22	-0,354 (-0,056)
			0,2% 10,9% 41,7% 58,3% 15,9% 0,6%
			Live cube rollout: -0,385
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,220 �0,032, - live cube: -0,385 �0,030. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 250 games (equiv. 6281 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.

Checker play

dorbel: Snowie4 plays bar/20, 6/5. The idea is that you should be able to come out with one of the 5pts, sometimes both! A very proactive play, rather than the slightly passive alternates.

jug: amazingly, the live cube rollout seems to indicate that bar/20, 6/5 leaves too many blots in the field. White gets some jokers for free. (gnubg 2-ply sees no difference.) May be a cubing error, of course...

Move 2 White
		Pip: 159

		Pip: 172

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0,196
	0,4% 14,1% 57,5% 42,5% 9,8% 0,3%
1.	No double	0,328
2.	Double, take	0,238	(-0,089)
3.	Double, pass	1,000	(+0,672)
Proper cube action: No double, take			12%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	24/20 13/8	0,114
			0,4% 11,4% 52,7% 47,3% 12,0% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	24/15	0,102 (-0,012)
			0,3% 10,1% 52,9% 47,1% 12,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	24/20 16/11	0,085 (-0,029)
			0,3% 10,3% 52,1% 47,9% 11,7% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	24/20 6/1*	0,052 (-0,062)
			0,3% 9,8% 51,4% 48,6% 12,2% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	16/11 13/9	0,037 (-0,077)
			0,4% 12,0% 50,0% 50,0% 12,8% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 3 Green
		Pip: 150

		Pip: 172

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	13/9*/8	-0,124
			0,3% 11,7% 46,9% 53,1% 10,4% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	22/21 13/9*	-0,125 (-0,002)
			0,4% 12,2% 46,9% 53,1% 10,9% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	24/23 13/9*	-0,155 (-0,031)
			0,4% 11,7% 46,0% 54,0% 10,8% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	13/9* 8/7	-0,209 (-0,085)
			0,4% 12,2% 44,9% 55,1% 12,8% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	13/9* 6/5	-0,231 (-0,107)
			0,4% 11,8% 44,8% 55,2% 13,3% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 3 White
		Pip: 159

		Pip: 167

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/22 6/5*	0,015
			0,4% 10,8% 50,1% 49,9% 14,0% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	bar/24 8/5*	-0,028 (-0,043)
			0,4% 12,0% 48,6% 51,4% 15,3% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	bar/21	-0,052 (-0,067)
			0,3% 9,5% 48,8% 51,2% 14,7% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	bar/22 15/14	-0,057 (-0,073)
			0,3% 9,5% 48,7% 51,3% 14,9% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	bar/24 13/10	-0,116 (-0,131)
			0,3% 10,5% 46,3% 53,7% 15,7% 0,5%

Move 4 Green
		Pip: 155

		Pip: 172

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	bar/20* 13/10*	0,221
			0,6% 17,8% 56,1% 43,9% 9,5% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	bar/20* 6/3*	0,133 (-0,088)
			0,6% 17,0% 53,5% 46,5% 9,6% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	2	bar/20* 24/21	0,019 (-0,203)
			0,3% 12,5% 50,7% 49,3% 9,1% 0,3%
	4	2	bar/20* 9/6	0,018 (-0,203)
			0,4% 12,9% 50,8% 49,2% 9,6% 0,3%
	5	2	bar/20* 21/18	-0,016 (-0,238)
			0,4% 12,6% 50,2% 49,8% 10,6% 0,3%

Move 4 White
		Pip: 178

		Pip: 164

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/22* bar/23	0,088
			0,4% 11,4% 51,6% 48,4% 11,7% 0,3%

Move 5 Green
		Pip: 173

		Pip: 186

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/20 13/10*	-0,006
			0,4% 12,2% 50,5% 49,5% 10,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	bar/20 9/6	-0,093 (-0,088)
			0,3% 11,2% 47,8% 52,2% 10,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	bar/20 6/3*	-0,111 (-0,106)
			0,3% 11,6% 47,4% 52,6% 11,0% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	bar/20 24/21	-0,122 (-0,116)
			0,3% 10,5% 47,0% 53,0% 10,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	bar/20 21/18	-0,134 (-0,128)
			0,3% 10,5% 47,0% 53,0% 10,9% 0,4%

Move 5 White
		Pip: 183

		Pip: 178

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	bar/24 6/4*	-0,122
			0,3% 9,7% 46,4% 53,6% 15,2% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	bar/22	-0,155 (-0,033)
			0,3% 8,8% 45,1% 54,9% 13,9% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	bar/24 23/21	-0,194 (-0,071)
			0,3% 9,0% 44,6% 55,4% 16,2% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	bar/24 13/11	-0,197 (-0,074)
			0,3% 9,7% 44,4% 55,6% 16,9% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	bar/24 22/20	-0,211 (-0,088)
			0,3% 8,5% 44,1% 55,9% 15,7% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Checker play

jug: a typical destructive "anything but don't make a point" play against the green builders flotilla. Doesn't help much though if green rolls a double afterwards ...

Move 6 Green
		Pip: 180

		Pip: 178

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/9 6/4(2)	0,123
			0,4% 13,8% 53,8% 46,2% 8,9% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	10/6 6/4(2)	0,100 (-0,023)
			0,4% 13,8% 53,1% 46,9% 9,1% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	13/11(2) 11/9 10/8	0,084 (-0,039)
			0,4% 12,5% 52,9% 47,1% 8,9% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	13/9(2)	0,079 (-0,043)
			0,3% 12,2% 52,6% 47,4% 8,4% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	24/20 6/4(2)	0,062 (-0,061)
			0,3% 12,4% 52,3% 47,7% 9,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 6 White
		Pip: 180

		Pip: 170

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	23/18 13/12*	-0,085
			0,3% 9,7% 47,0% 53,0% 13,5% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	13/8 13/12*	-0,113 (-0,028)
			0,3% 9,6% 46,1% 53,9% 13,6% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	2	13/12* 6/1*	-0,238 (-0,154)
			0,3% 9,1% 42,8% 57,2% 15,9% 0,5%
	4	3	13/12*/7	-0,253 (-0,169)
			0,2% 8,6% 42,4% 57,6% 15,5% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	13/12* 8/3	-0,284 (-0,200)
			0,3% 8,7% 41,7% 58,3% 16,8% 0,6%

Move 7 Green
		Pip: 174

		Pip: 182

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	-0,193
			0,3% 10,9% 45,4% 54,6% 12,1% 0,5%

Move 7 White
		Pip: 174

		Pip: 182

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	22/18 13/8	0,169
			0,3% 10,7% 54,5% 45,5% 10,7% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	22/18 6/1*	0,026 (-0,143)
			0,4% 10,2% 50,5% 49,5% 13,1% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	3	3	13/4*	0,017 (-0,152)
			0,4% 12,4% 49,2% 50,8% 13,2% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	22/18 12/7	0,002 (-0,167)
			0,3% 9,9% 49,8% 50,2% 13,0% 0,4%
	5	2	18/14 13/8	-0,009 (-0,178)
			0,3% 10,5% 48,9% 51,1% 12,4% 0,3%

Alert: Blunder (0,152)

Checker play

jug: Just prepare to bring your lead home, I guess.

Move 8 Green
		Pip: 165

		Pip: 186

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/20	-0,215
			0,3% 11,4% 45,4% 54,6% 14,0% 0,5%

Move 8 White
		Pip: 165

		Pip: 181

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	13/1*(2)	-0,060
			0,6% 19,6% 45,3% 54,7% 16,3% 1,0%
			Live cube rollout: -0,024
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,065 �0,034, - live cube: -0,024 �0,037. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 400 games (equiv. 7387 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
*	2	R	18/12 13/7(3)	-0,076 (-0,016)
			0,8% 13,3% 46,0% 54,0% 13,4% 0,4%
			Live cube rollout: -0,090
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0,077 �0,032, - live cube: -0,090 �0,033. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 6050 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
	3	3	13/7(3) 7/1*	-0,123 (-0,063)
			0,4% 12,9% 44,6% 55,4% 14,1% 0,4%
			Full 3-ply, 100%.
	4	3	18/6 13/7(2)	-0,128 (-0,068)
			0,4% 12,3% 44,3% 55,7% 13,1% 0,3%
			Full 3-ply, 100%.
	5	3	13/7(3) 12/6	-0,164 (-0,104)
			0,3% 11,1% 43,5% 56,5% 12,8% 0,3%
			Full 3-ply, 100%.

Checker play

jug: Hm hm. Snowie 3's idea doesn't please me too much. [later:] The rollout has a very wide confidence interval, i.e. it's pretty volatile here. But Snowie's 3-ply choice 13/1* (2) seems to be correct. It accomplishes a set of goals: keeps in touch with the anchor, makes a point, keeps midfield control, threatens the green blot on the 10. [even later]: The rollouts converge somewhat making the error smaller, but it still seems to be an error.

Move 9 Green
		Pip: 141

		Pip: 181

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	bar/22 24/21* 8/5(2)	0,305
			0,4% 13,6% 60,1% 39,9% 8,7% 0,2%
	2	2	bar/22 24/21* 10/4	0,098 (-0,208)
			0,3% 11,4% 53,9% 46,1% 9,2% 0,2%
	3	1	bar/22 24/21* 9/6(2)	-0,041 (-0,346)
			0,3% 10,8% 49,9% 50,1% 10,5% 0,3%
	4	1	bar/22 24/21* 8/2	-0,079 (-0,384)
			0,3% 10,5% 49,1% 50,9% 11,5% 0,4%
	5	1	bar/22 24/21* 10/7 8/5	-0,083 (-0,388)
			0,3% 10,2% 49,4% 50,6% 12,1% 0,4%

Move 9 White
		Pip: 162

		Pip: 169

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	bar/23 6/3*	-0,357
			0,3% 9,1% 39,2% 60,8% 16,2% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	bar/22 6/4*	-0,369 (-0,012)
			0,2% 8,9% 39,1% 60,9% 15,7% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	bar/23 7/4*	-0,392 (-0,036)
			0,3% 9,2% 38,6% 61,4% 17,1% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	4	3	bar/22 8/6	-0,464 (-0,107)
			0,2% 8,0% 36,3% 63,7% 15,1% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	bar/22 12/10	-0,567 (-0,211)
			0,2% 7,6% 33,6% 66,4% 18,5% 0,6%

Checker play

jug: attack at green's weak spot; that's the 4 blots, I guess, 3 of which are within reach.

Move 10 Green
		Pip: 157

		Pip: 169

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	22/20 10/8 9/7(2)	0,603
			0,3% 15,4% 68,5% 31,5% 5,8% 0,1%
	2	1	22/20 9/7(2) 8/6	0,181 (-0,422)
			0,3% 12,7% 56,1% 43,9% 8,7% 0,2%
	3	1	22/20 10/8 8/6(2)	0,174 (-0,428)
			0,3% 12,3% 55,8% 44,2% 8,4% 0,2%
	4	1	10/4 8/6	0,160 (-0,443)
			0,4% 13,3% 55,6% 44,4% 9,6% 0,3%
	5	1	22/20 10/8 4/2(2)	0,143 (-0,460)
			0,3% 11,4% 55,1% 44,9% 8,4% 0,2%

Move 10 White
		Pip: 157

		Pip: 161

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	12/4*(2)	-0,615
			0,2% 7,7% 32,2% 67,8% 13,3% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	8/4*(2) 6/2(2)	-0,616 (-0,001)
			0,2% 8,6% 31,5% 68,5% 14,8% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	12/8(2) 6/2(2)	-0,683 (-0,068)
			0,1% 6,4% 31,2% 68,8% 12,8% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	12/8 8/4*(3)	-0,761 (-0,146)
			0,1% 7,4% 28,5% 71,5% 15,0% 0,3%
	5	1	8/4*(2) 7/3(2)	-0,873 (-0,258)
			0,1% 6,9% 27,0% 73,0% 16,3% 0,4%

Move 11 Green
		Pip: 141

		Pip: 165

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0,413
	0,3% 13,3% 67,8% 32,2% 7,7% 0,2%
1.	No double	0,625
2.	Double, take	0,534	(-0,091)
3.	Double, pass	1,000	(+0,375)
Proper cube action: No double, take			20%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/23 20/16	0,677
			0,3% 15,8% 71,8% 28,2% 7,5% 0,1%
	2	1	bar/23 8/4	-0,071 (-0,749)
			0,3% 10,9% 50,6% 49,4% 14,4% 0,4%
	3	1	bar/23 5/1	-0,385 (-1,063)
			0,2% 9,0% 42,4% 57,6% 18,8% 0,7%
	4	1	bar/23 6/2	-0,494 (-1,172)
			0,2% 8,0% 39,5% 60,5% 18,5% 0,6%

Move 11 White
		Pip: 141

		Pip: 159

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	22/16 7/6	-0,578
			0,2% 7,8% 32,6% 67,4% 14,4% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	22/15	-0,674 (-0,097)
			0,2% 7,2% 30,7% 69,3% 14,1% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	1	22/16 8/7	-0,958 (-0,380)
			0,1% 6,3% 26,6% 73,4% 18,6% 0,5%
	4	1	22/16 4/3	-1,000 (-0,423)
			0,1% 5,9% 25,4% 74,6% 20,8% 0,5%
	5	1	8/2* 8/7	-1,000 (-0,423)
			0,1% 4,7% 20,7% 79,3% 18,5% 0,3%

Move 12 Green
		Pip: 134

		Pip: 159

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0,415
	0,3% 14,2% 67,4% 32,6% 7,7% 0,2%
1.	No double	0,582
2.	Double, take	0,530	(-0,051)
3.	Double, pass	1,000	(+0,418)
Proper cube action: No double, take			11%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	23/15	0,603
			0,3% 12,3% 67,8% 32,2% 7,0% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	20/15 16/13	0,501 (-0,102)
			0,4% 14,4% 66,0% 34,0% 9,8% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	2	20/12	0,448 (-0,155)
			0,3% 13,7% 64,5% 35,5% 9,6% 0,3%
	4	2	16/8	0,414 (-0,189)
			0,3% 13,4% 63,5% 36,5% 7,7% 0,2%
	5	2	23/20 16/11	0,399 (-0,204)
			0,2% 10,9% 63,1% 36,9% 6,7% 0,1%

Move 12 White
		Pip: 134

		Pip: 151

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	6/3 4/3	-0,974
			0,1% 5,0% 25,4% 74,6% 14,6% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	6/2	-0,989 (-0,015)
			0,1% 4,9% 25,2% 74,8% 14,7% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	16/12	-1,000 (-0,026)
			0,1% 3,8% 22,6% 77,4% 12,8% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	16/15 6/3	-1,000 (-0,026)
			0,1% 4,2% 22,7% 77,3% 13,9% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	7/4 7/6	-1,000 (-0,026)
			0,1% 4,1% 21,9% 78,1% 14,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.


		Pip: 130

		Pip: 151

13.	Green	Double

	White	Pass

Cube action equity
3-Ply	Money equity:	0,591
	0,3% 14,5% 74,7% 25,3% 5,0% 0,1%
1.	Double, take	0,977
2.	No double	0,852	(-0,125)
3.	Double, pass	1,000	(+0,023)
Proper cube action: Double, take

snowflakes wins 1 point.

Game 3 detailed statistics
Player	snowflakes	dorbel
Rating	advanced	beginner
Overall	7,395/0,823	16,936/1,885
Errors(blunders)	2(0)	4(1)
Checker play errors
Checker play	7,395/0,823	15,997/1,781
Errors(blunders)	2(0)	4(1)
Double errors
Overall	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Missed double	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Wrong double	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Errors(blunders)	0(0)	0(0)
Take errors
Overall	0,000/0,000	0,940/0,105
Wrong take	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Wrong pass	0,000/0,000	0,940/0,105
Errors(blunders)	0(0)	0(0)

This file has been generated by Snowie Professional Edition Version 3.2, a product of Oasya SA
Output date: 00:01:23, 01.10.2004(Export v2.10)