Snowie Professional Edition Version 3.2 HTML Export Game 04

Move 1 White
		Pip: 167

		Pip: 167

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	24/18 13/10	0,055
			0,4% 11,8% 50,5% 49,5% 12,7% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	24/15	0,047 (-0,008)
			0,3% 10,7% 50,6% 49,4% 12,1% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	24/18 24/21	0,001 (-0,054)
			0,3% 10,5% 49,6% 50,4% 13,6% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	24/21 13/7	-0,004 (-0,060)
			0,4% 12,1% 48,4% 51,6% 13,0% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	13/4	-0,005 (-0,061)
			0,4% 12,6% 48,0% 52,0% 12,8% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 2 Green
		Pip: 158

		Pip: 167

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/18(2) 13/7*(2)	0,470
			0,8% 15,9% 63,9% 36,1% 7,5% 0,3%
			Live cube rollout: 0,504
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0,366 ą0,020, - live cube: 0,504 ą0,025. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 550 games (equiv. 16376 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
*	2	R	13/7/1(2)	0,359 (-0,111)
			1,0% 25,0% 58,4% 41,6% 9,8% 0,5%
			Live cube rollout: 0,367
			95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0,325 ą0,022, - live cube: 0,367 ą0,024. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 550 games (equiv. 15319 games), played 3-ply (medium, 33%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
	3	2	24/18 13/7*(3)	0,265 (-0,204)
			0,6% 16,3% 58,1% 41,9% 9,0% 0,3%
	4	1	24/18(2) 13/7/1	0,192 (-0,278)
			0,5% 15,3% 55,8% 44,2% 8,7% 0,3%
	5	1	13/7*(2) 8/2(2)	0,166 (-0,304)
			0,8% 20,0% 54,9% 45,1% 11,4% 0,4%

Alert: Blunder (0,137)

Alert: Joker (0,533)

Checker play

jug: the correct play is so boring, I know ;-)

Move 2 White
		Pip: 166

		Pip: 143

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/20 bar/22	-0,211
			0,4% 10,1% 44,6% 55,4% 20,8% 0,8%

Move 3 Green
		Pip: 158

		Pip: 143

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	24/15*	0,319
			0,5% 17,9% 59,3% 40,7% 8,5% 0,2%
	2	1	24/18 8/5*	-0,033 (-0,352)
			0,5% 17,0% 49,9% 50,1% 13,1% 0,5%
	3	1	24/18 6/3*	-0,040 (-0,359)
			0,5% 15,3% 49,6% 50,4% 12,1% 0,4%
	4	1	13/7 6/3*	-0,088 (-0,407)
			0,6% 17,3% 47,9% 52,1% 13,0% 0,4%
	5	1	24/18 24/21	-0,098 (-0,417)
			0,4% 12,6% 48,4% 51,6% 12,0% 0,4%

Move 3 White
		Pip: 173

		Pip: 134

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	bar/20 22/16	-0,266
			0,2% 7,4% 41,2% 58,8% 12,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	bar/20 13/7	-0,274 (-0,008)
			0,2% 8,7% 41,5% 58,5% 14,9% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	bar/20 8/2	-0,384 (-0,118)
			0,2% 7,7% 38,6% 61,4% 16,3% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	1	bar/14	-0,607 (-0,342)
			0,2% 6,8% 35,3% 64,7% 25,8% 0,8%

Move 4 Green
		Pip: 162

		Pip: 134

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	15/8	0,129
			0,3% 11,2% 55,2% 44,8% 9,3% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	15/11 6/3*	0,109 (-0,019)
			0,5% 14,5% 54,3% 45,7% 10,7% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	24/20 6/3*	0,089 (-0,039)
			0,4% 12,3% 54,4% 45,6% 10,9% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	24/21 15/11	0,009 (-0,119)
			0,4% 12,4% 52,2% 47,8% 11,9% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	13/9 6/3*	-0,035 (-0,163)
			0,5% 14,3% 50,6% 49,4% 13,1% 0,5%

Move 4 White
		Pip: 162

		Pip: 127

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	13/7 6/3	-0,202
			0,2% 9,0% 43,5% 56,5% 14,2% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	13/7 8/5	-0,211 (-0,009)
			0,2% 9,2% 43,5% 56,5% 15,2% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	13/7 13/10	-0,307 (-0,105)
			0,2% 8,1% 40,8% 59,2% 15,0% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	22/13	-0,319 (-0,117)
			0,2% 6,8% 39,6% 60,4% 10,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	22/16 13/10	-0,336 (-0,134)
			0,2% 7,2% 40,1% 59,9% 15,7% 0,5%

Move 5 Green
		Pip: 153

		Pip: 127

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/2	-0,096
			0,4% 12,3% 48,5% 51,5% 11,9% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	13/7 8/3*	-0,144 (-0,049)
			0,5% 14,2% 47,5% 52,5% 13,3% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	8/2 8/3*	-0,235 (-0,139)
			0,4% 13,0% 45,9% 54,1% 15,1% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	8/2 6/1	-0,271 (-0,175)
			0,3% 10,2% 44,2% 55,8% 14,1% 0,4%
	5	2	13/7 6/1	-0,367 (-0,272)
			0,3% 10,6% 41,6% 58,4% 15,8% 0,6%

Move 5 White
		Pip: 153

		Pip: 116

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/5	0,104
			0,4% 12,3% 51,8% 48,2% 12,1% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	8/5 6/1*	-0,018 (-0,122)
			0,4% 12,9% 48,3% 51,7% 15,4% 0,6%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	1	8/3 8/5	-0,099 (-0,203)
			0,4% 11,9% 45,9% 54,1% 15,4% 0,7%
	4	1	8/3 6/3	-0,115 (-0,218)
			0,4% 11,9% 45,9% 54,1% 17,0% 0,8%
	5	1	13/8 13/10	-0,269 (-0,373)
			0,3% 9,2% 41,9% 58,1% 17,3% 0,7%

Move 6 Green
		Pip: 145

		Pip: 116

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	24/22 6/1	-0,387
			0,2% 9,0% 42,4% 57,6% 16,2% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	24/22 8/3*	-0,399 (-0,012)
			0,3% 10,6% 42,5% 57,5% 17,5% 0,6%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	8/1	-0,449 (-0,062)
			0,2% 8,1% 39,9% 60,1% 14,7% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	8/3*/1	-0,561 (-0,174)
			0,2% 8,5% 37,8% 62,2% 17,1% 0,6%
	5	1	8/3* 6/4	-0,644 (-0,257)
			0,3% 9,5% 37,2% 62,8% 19,9% 0,6%


		Pip: 145

		Pip: 109

	White	Double

7.	Green	Take

Cube action equity		Alert: Wrong double
3-Ply	Money equity:	0,222
	0,5% 16,1% 57,5% 42,5% 9,0% 0,3%
1.	No double	0,388
2.	Double, take	0,310	(-0,078)
3.	Double, pass	1,000	(+0,612)
Proper cube action: No double, take			11%

Move 7 White
		Pip: 145

		Pip: 109

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	13/3*	0,108
			0,6% 15,7% 55,6% 44,4% 10,1% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	22/16 6/2	0,016 (-0,092)
			0,5% 13,5% 52,6% 47,4% 10,2% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	22/16 13/9	0,014 (-0,094)
			0,4% 12,6% 52,7% 47,3% 9,4% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	22/16 20/16	-0,014 (-0,123)
			0,4% 11,4% 52,9% 47,1% 11,9% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	22/16 7/3*	-0,034 (-0,143)
			0,5% 14,4% 51,4% 48,6% 14,5% 0,6%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 8 Green
		Pip: 135

		Pip: 112

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	bar/15	0,232
			0,4% 7,1% 58,5% 41,5% 9,9% 0,4%
	2	1	bar/21 8/2	-0,072 (-0,303)
			0,2% 10,1% 47,1% 52,9% 15,5% 0,4%
	3	1	bar/21 13/7	-0,545 (-0,776)
			0,2% 8,4% 33,3% 66,7% 28,6% 1,4%

Move 8 White
		Pip: 135

		Pip: 102

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	8/4 6/4	-0,365
			0,3% 6,3% 37,7% 62,3% 5,8% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	7/3 6/4	-0,395 (-0,030)
			0,3% 6,2% 36,6% 63,4% 6,2% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	6/2 6/4	-0,416 (-0,051)
			0,3% 5,6% 36,2% 63,8% 6,8% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	7/3 7/5	-0,437 (-0,072)
			0,2% 6,1% 34,9% 65,1% 6,4% 0,3%
	5	3	22/18 20/18	-0,442 (-0,077)
			0,2% 5,3% 36,0% 64,0% 9,0% 0,5%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.


		Pip: 129

		Pip: 102

9.	Green	Double

	White	Take

Cube action equity		Alert: Wrong double
Rollout	Money equity:	0,242
	0,1% 7,4% 62,3% 37,7% 7,6% 0,3%
	95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0,242 ą0,032, - live cube no redouble: 0,405 ą0,024, - live cube redouble take: -0,465 ą0,059. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 100 games (equiv. 4071 games), played 3-ply (huge, 100%), cube 3-ply, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1.	No redouble	0,362
2.	Redouble, take	-0,433	(-0,795)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+0,638)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take			56%
Live cube
1.	No redouble	0,405
2.	Redouble, take	-0,465	(-0,869)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+0,595)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take			59%

Cube action

The recube is still a blunder in a money game, but not such a bad one (0.266 in 3-ply).
Amazingly, the recube would still be an error in a money game (0.075) if snow's 6pt and 8pt are unstacked to fill the gaps at the 4pt and 7pt, respectively. Maybe the combined chances of getting a shot and running for dorbel are just too high, and the buried checker is a real burden too.
I just checked again: snow would need 10 pips more racing lead, and dorbel's checker on the 3 would have to go (in my test to the 5) to justify a redouble even in a money game. In the match, the doubling window is very small. If the racing lead is large enough to justify a recube, it's easily too good already.

gnubg isn't at all that strict (0.387 vs. 0.293).

Move 10 Green
		Pip: 129

		Pip: 102

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	2	15/14 6/2	-0,342
			0,3% 6,6% 58,6% 41,4% 8,8% 0,4%
	2	2	6/1	-0,685 (-0,343)
			0,3% 4,5% 50,9% 49,1% 12,3% 0,6%
	3	2	13/8	-0,697 (-0,355)
			0,3% 5,2% 51,0% 49,0% 13,2% 0,7%
	4	1	15/11 2/1	-0,933 (-0,591)
			0,3% 5,4% 45,9% 54,1% 15,9% 0,7%
	5	1	15/10	-0,955 (-0,613)
			0,3% 6,4% 45,9% 54,1% 17,3% 0,9%

Move 10 White
		Pip: 129

		Pip: 97

Cube action equity		Alert: Missed double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,148
	0,3% 8,3% 41,6% 58,4% 6,3% 0,3%
1.	Redouble, take	0,341
2.	No redouble	0,278	(-0,063)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+0,659)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Cube action

dorbel: Some further thoughts. The missed recube to 8 in game 4. When I was redoubled to 4, it was such an easy take that I didn't do what I should have done when doubled, which is to work out my redoubling point on an 8 cube.

This is a very easy redouble. By redoubling I risk about 7%, my equity at 9-away, 2-away, in order to gain 26%, the difference between trailing 6-away, 5-away and leading 3-away, 6-away. R/R + G = 7/7 + 26 = 7/33 or about 21%. My doubling window opens at 21%! With immediate hitting chances
of 16%, plus some more winning chances if I miss and a few (match-winning) gammons as a bonus, I should have jumped on this.
Astonishingly (to me) [me too, see the notes on the 4-cube. -jug], I win this game 41% from here, at least 10% more than I would have guessed.

I paid the price for being too lazy to say, "Just a minute" and work this one out. It wouldn't of course have made any difference to the result, but it would have saved me making several more cube and checker blunders later on! Clearly I had another redouble later when I got a direct shot.

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/2 6/5	0,107
			0,3% 6,1% 36,0% 64,0% 6,0% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	8/2 3/2	0,088 (-0,019)
			0,2% 5,7% 35,7% 64,3% 5,5% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	7/1 6/5	0,077 (-0,030)
			0,3% 5,9% 35,2% 64,8% 6,6% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	8/1	0,050 (-0,057)
			0,2% 5,6% 34,6% 65,4% 6,5% 0,3%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	12	3	22/16 6/5	-0,061 (-0,168)
			0,2% 3,8% 32,0% 68,0% 5,6% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Alert: Blunder (0,168)

Move 11 Green
		Pip: 122

		Pip: 97

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	14/13 8/4	0,047
			0,2% 3,8% 67,2% 32,8% 3,0% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	13/9*/8	-0,019 (-0,066)
			0,2% 6,4% 65,8% 34,2% 5,5% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	2	14/13 6/2	-0,102 (-0,150)
			0,1% 3,1% 63,0% 37,0% 4,1% 0,2%
	4	1	14/9*	-0,261 (-0,308)
			0,2% 7,7% 60,5% 39,5% 8,2% 0,1%
	5	1	13/9* 13/12	-0,323 (-0,370)
			0,2% 7,3% 59,5% 40,5% 9,8% 0,2%

Move 11 White
		Pip: 122

		Pip: 92

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,353
	0,2% 3,1% 32,7% 67,3% 3,8% 0,2%
1.	No redouble	-0,045
2.	Redouble, take	-0,077	(-0,032)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+1,045)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take			3%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	20/16 8/2	-0,022
			0,2% 3,8% 33,3% 66,7% 6,1% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	20/16 7/1	-0,023 (-0,001)
			0,2% 4,4% 32,9% 67,1% 8,1% 0,4%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	8/2 7/3	-0,062 (-0,040)
			0,2% 3,4% 32,1% 67,9% 4,1% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	8/2 6/2	-0,078 (-0,056)
			0,2% 3,0% 31,7% 68,3% 3,8% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	11	3	16/10 7/3	-0,097 (-0,075)
			0,2% 2,0% 31,3% 68,7% 1,5% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 12 Green
		Pip: 112

		Pip: 92

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/4	0,011
			0,1% 1,4% 65,9% 34,1% 2,1% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	2	6/2	-0,099 (-0,109)
			0,1% 1,3% 62,6% 37,4% 3,0% 0,2%
*	3	3	6/3 4/3	-0,107 (-0,117)
			0,1% 1,4% 62,7% 37,3% 3,2% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	1	6/3 2/1	-0,272 (-0,282)
			0,1% 1,1% 58,3% 41,7% 3,7% 0,2%
	5	1	4/1 2/1	-0,396 (-0,406)
			0,1% 1,1% 55,1% 44,9% 3,9% 0,2%

Alert: Blunder (0,117)

Move 12 White
		Pip: 112

		Pip: 88

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,238
	0,2% 3,2% 37,2% 62,8% 1,4% 0,1%
1.	No redouble	0,111
2.	Redouble, take	0,093	(-0,019)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+0,889)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take			2%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	8/2 5/2	0,056
			0,2% 2,7% 35,8% 64,2% 1,6% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	2	7/1 6/3	0,055 (-0,001)
			0,2% 3,5% 35,4% 64,6% 1,8% 0,1%
	3	2	8/5 7/1	0,048 (-0,008)
			0,2% 3,2% 35,4% 64,6% 1,8% 0,1%
	4	2	7/1 4/1	0,045 (-0,011)
			0,1% 2,7% 35,4% 64,6% 1,4% 0,1%
	5	3	10/7 8/2	0,045 (-0,012)
			0,2% 2,9% 35,4% 64,6% 1,7% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 13 Green
		Pip: 103

		Pip: 88

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/2	-0,219
			0,1% 1,6% 59,7% 40,3% 3,3% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	13/8 2/1	-0,248 (-0,029)
			0,1% 2,6% 58,9% 41,1% 3,6% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	13/8 3/2	-0,251 (-0,032)
			0,1% 2,0% 58,8% 41,2% 3,4% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	8/3 2/1	-0,361 (-0,142)
			0,1% 2,3% 56,2% 43,8% 4,3% 0,3%
	5	1	13/12 8/3	-0,616 (-0,397)
			0,1% 1,6% 51,9% 48,1% 10,1% 0,4%

Move 13 White
		Pip: 103

		Pip: 82

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,168
	0,1% 3,3% 41,2% 58,8% 2,4% 0,1%
1.	No redouble	0,254
2.	Redouble, take	0,246	(-0,008)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+0,746)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take			1%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	20/16 10/9	0,169
			0,2% 4,0% 38,5% 61,5% 4,2% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	20/15	0,166 (-0,002)
			0,2% 4,0% 38,4% 61,6% 3,4% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	3	3	6/1	0,160 (-0,008)
			0,2% 4,3% 38,0% 62,0% 2,6% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	20/16 6/5	0,160 (-0,009)
			0,2% 3,8% 38,3% 61,7% 4,3% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	20/16 7/6	0,134 (-0,035)
			0,2% 4,1% 37,5% 62,5% 3,9% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 14 Green
		Pip: 98

		Pip: 82

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	13/4	-0,187
			0,1% 1,5% 60,9% 39,1% 4,7% 0,2%
	2	1	8/2 6/3	-1,000 (-0,813)
			0,1% 1,8% 41,7% 58,3% 17,7% 0,6%
	3	1	13/10 8/2	-1,000 (-0,813)
			0,1% 2,2% 39,1% 60,9% 18,3% 0,7%
	4	1	13/7 13/10	-1,000 (-0,813)
			0,0% 1,8% 32,4% 67,6% 20,8% 0,6%
	5	1	13/7 6/3	-1,187 (-0,999)
			0,0% 1,5% 27,2% 72,8% 34,9% 0,7%

Move 14 White
		Pip: 98

		Pip: 73

Cube action equity		Alert: Missed double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,145
	0,2% 6,5% 40,8% 59,2% 2,8% 0,1%
1.	Redouble, take	0,283
2.	No redouble	0,157	(-0,126)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+0,717)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

Cube action

The match/cube score are making this a redouble; I guess the market loss is to large after the hit. Pretty amazing.

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	20/15 10/8	-0,018
			0,2% 3,9% 32,1% 67,9% 3,3% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	20/15 7/5	-0,080 (-0,062)
			0,1% 3,2% 30,4% 69,6% 2,7% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	20/18 6/1	-0,082 (-0,064)
			0,2% 4,7% 30,1% 69,9% 7,0% 0,2%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	20/15 3/1	-0,102 (-0,084)
			0,2% 3,3% 29,9% 70,1% 4,7% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	20/18 10/5	-0,109 (-0,091)
			0,1% 3,1% 29,8% 70,2% 3,2% 0,1%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 15 Green
		Pip: 91

		Pip: 73

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	13/6	0,350
			0,0% 0,5% 77,1% 22,9% 0,7% 0,0%
	2	1	13/10* 8/4	-0,386 (-0,736)
			0,6% 10,9% 59,3% 40,7% 13,3% 0,6%
	3	1	13/9 4/1	-0,773 (-1,123)
			0,0% 0,5% 45,6% 54,4% 5,1% 0,0%
	4	1	13/10*/6	-0,941 (-1,291)
			0,1% 5,7% 45,1% 54,9% 14,6% 0,2%
	5	1	8/1	-1,000 (-1,350)
			0,1% 1,9% 35,8% 64,2% 10,5% 0,6%

Move 15 White
		Pip: 91

		Pip: 66

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	15/4	-0,289
			0,0% 0,2% 25,4% 74,6% 0,3% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	15/9 8/3	-0,300 (-0,011)
			0,0% 0,3% 24,9% 75,1% 0,3% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	3	3	15/10 7/1	-0,314 (-0,025)
			0,0% 0,4% 24,4% 75,6% 0,3% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	15/10 8/2	-0,318 (-0,029)
			0,0% 0,2% 24,3% 75,7% 0,3% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	15/9 6/1	-0,336 (-0,047)
			0,0% 0,2% 23,6% 76,4% 0,3% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 16 Green
		Pip: 80

		Pip: 66

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	8/3 4/2	0,280
			0,0% 0,3% 74,7% 25,3% 0,3% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	8/3 8/6	0,279 (-0,001)
			0,0% 0,1% 74,9% 25,1% 0,4% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	8/1	0,198 (-0,082)
			0,0% 0,1% 71,9% 28,1% 0,4% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	4	3	8/3 6/4	0,181 (-0,099)
			0,0% 0,2% 71,5% 28,5% 0,5% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	2	6/1 4/2	0,144 (-0,136)
			0,0% 0,2% 69,5% 30,5% 0,6% 0,0%

Move 16 White
		Pip: 80

		Pip: 59

Cube action equity		Alert: Correct decision not to double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,423
	0,0% 0,6% 28,7% 71,3% 0,2% 0,0%
1.	No redouble	-0,172
2.	Redouble, take	-0,268	(-0,096)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+1,172)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take			8%

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	10/9 8/5	-0,302
			0,0% 0,5% 24,6% 75,4% 0,4% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	10/6	-0,311 (-0,009)
			0,0% 0,5% 24,2% 75,8% 0,4% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	8/4	-0,311 (-0,009)
			0,0% 0,4% 24,3% 75,7% 0,4% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	10/8 8/7(2)	-0,316 (-0,014)
			0,0% 0,4% 24,1% 75,9% 0,4% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	10/9 8/6 5/4	-0,357 (-0,055)
			0,0% 0,3% 22,9% 77,1% 0,5% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 17 Green
		Pip: 76

		Pip: 59

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	8/5*(3) 5/2	0,876
			0,0% 3,0% 95,3% 4,7% 0,3% 0,0%
	2	1	8/5*/2(2)	0,604 (-0,272)
			0,0% 1,7% 86,0% 14,0% 0,6% 0,0%
	3	1	8/5*/2 6/3(2)	0,494 (-0,382)
			0,0% 1,0% 82,1% 17,9% 0,6% 0,0%
	4	1	8/5*/2 4/1(2)	0,361 (-0,515)
			0,0% 1,0% 77,5% 22,5% 0,8% 0,0%
	5	1	8/5*(3) 3/off	0,110 (-0,766)
			0,0% 2,2% 68,0% 32,0% 0,0% 0,0%

Alert: Joker (0,568)

Move 17 White
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 47

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	-0,871
			0,0% 0,0% 4,9% 95,1% 2,7% 0,0%

Move 18 Green
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 47

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	3	3/off 1/off	0,924
			0,0% 5,5% 96,6% 3,4% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
*	2	3	6/3 6/5	0,780 (-0,144)
			0,0% 2,0% 91,9% 8,1% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	5/2 5/4	0,776 (-0,148)
			0,0% 1,7% 91,8% 8,2% 0,1% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	2	4/1 4/3	0,761 (-0,163)
			0,0% 1,1% 91,4% 8,6% 0,0% 0,0%
	5	1	6/5 3/off	0,116 (-0,808)
			0,0% 2,3% 68,2% 31,8% 0,0% 0,0%

Alert: Blunder (0,144)

Move 18 White
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 43

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	-0,767
			0,0% 0,1% 8,6% 91,4% 2,6% 0,0%

Move 19 Green
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 43

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	5/off 5/1	0,175
			0,0% 1,8% 68,6% 31,4% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	5/off 4/off	0,094 (-0,081)
			0,0% 2,0% 66,5% 33,5% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Alert: Anti-joker (0,654)

Move 19 White
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 34

Cube action equity		Alert: Missed double
3-Ply	Money equity:	-0,390
	0,0% 0,0% 31,4% 68,6% 1,8% 0,0%
1.	Redouble, take	-0,176
2.	No redouble	-0,301	(-0,126)
3.	Redouble, pass	1,000	(+1,176)
Proper cube action: Redouble, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	-0,840
			0,0% 0,0% 6,0% 94,0% 2,6% 0,0%

Alert: Anti-joker (0,738)

Checker play

Same reasoning as in move 14 of this game (the hit would lose the market, and 9:0 after missing is so bad anyway, so it's a recube even as an underdog).

Move 20 Green
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 34

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	5/off 3/off	0,953
			0,0% 4,6% 97,7% 2,3% 0,0% 0,0%
	2	1	5/2 4/off	0,203 (-0,750)
			0,0% 1,7% 71,4% 28,6% 0,0% 0,0%
	3	1	5/off 4/1	0,139 (-0,814)
			0,0% 1,7% 69,1% 30,9% 0,0% 0,0%

Move 20 White
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 26

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	Can't move	-0,897
			0,0% 0,0% 4,7% 95,3% 8,3% 0,0%

Move 21 Green
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 26

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	1	4/off 4/2	0,963
			0,0% 5,9% 97,9% 2,1% 0,0% 0,0%
	2	1	4/off 3/1	0,254 (-0,709)
			0,0% 3,7% 73,0% 27,0% 0,0% 0,0%
	3	1	4/off 2/off	-0,288 (-1,251)
			0,0% 3,1% 56,3% 43,7% 0,0% 0,0%

Move 21 White
		Pip: 81

		Pip: 20

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	bar/20 8/6	-1,003
			0,0% 0,0% 0,1% 99,9% 1,5% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	bar/18	-1,004 (-0,001)
			0,0% 0,0% 0,1% 99,9% 1,5% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	3	bar/20 4/2	-1,009 (-0,006)
			0,0% 0,0% 0,1% 99,9% 3,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	4	3	bar/20 3/1	-1,009 (-0,007)
			0,0% 0,0% 0,1% 99,9% 3,1% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	5	3	bar/20 6/4	-1,010 (-0,007)
			0,0% 0,0% 0,1% 99,9% 3,1% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 22 Green
		Pip: 74

		Pip: 20

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	3	3/off 2/off	1,001
			0,0% 0,8% 99,9% 0,1% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	3/off 3/1	1,000 (-0,001)
			0,0% 0,7% 99,9% 0,1% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 22 White
		Pip: 74

		Pip: 15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	20/9	-1,000
			0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	3	20/14 6/1	-1,001 (-0,001)
			0,0% 0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,2% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

Move 23 Green
		Pip: 63

		Pip: 15

#		Ply	Move	Equity
*	1	D	3/off 1/off	1,000
			0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	2	D	3/off 3/2	1,000 ( 0,000)
			0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.
	3	D	3/off 2/1	1,000 (-0,000)
			0,0% 0,0% 100,0% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0%
			Simplified 3-ply, 50%.

snowflakes wins 4 points.

Game 4 detailed statistics
Player	snowflakes	dorbel
Rating	novice	beginner
Overall	34,902/15,870	17,349/11,619
Errors(blunders)	5(4)	6(3)
Checker play errors
Checker play	13,165/7,890	7,552/5,403
Errors(blunders)	4(3)	2(1)
Double errors
Overall	21,736/7,980	9,797/6,217
Missed double	0,000/0,000	7,855/5,872
Wrong double	21,736/7,980	1,942/0,345
Errors(blunders)	1(1)	4(2)
Take errors
Overall	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Wrong take	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Wrong pass	0,000/0,000	0,000/0,000
Errors(blunders)	0(0)	0(0)

This file has been generated by Snowie Professional Edition Version 3.2, a product of Oasya SA
Output date: 00:01:23, 01.10.2004(Export v2.10)