Game number 1

The score (after 0 games) is: kitwoolsey 0, juggler 0 (match to 7 points)

Match Information

Date	Juni 27, 2008
Event	Davide's Spring Tournament 2008
Round	Consolation 3
Place	FIBS
Annotator	juggler
Comment	I was to play Kit Woolsey in round 3 of the consolation of Davide's Spring Tournament 2008. While I was looking forward to playing Kit I was also swearing under my breath why it had to be before the final ;-). Turned out that my dice outperformed his play.

Move number 1: juggler to play 23

+-24-23-22-21-20-19-+---+-18-17-16-15-14-13-+

+--1--2--3--4--5--6-+---+--7--8--9-10-11-12-+

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 167, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cAjtAAAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/21 13/11

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/21 13/11	+0,048
			0,512 0,140 0,007 - 0,488 0,133 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/11 13/10	+0,036 ( -0,011)
			0,506 0,153 0,007 - 0,494 0,137 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/22 13/10	+0,022 ( -0,025)
			0,505 0,139 0,006 - 0,495 0,133 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/22 24/21	-0,006 ( -0,053)
			0,500 0,127 0,007 - 0,500 0,134 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/8	-0,009 ( -0,056)
			0,497 0,138 0,006 - 0,503 0,139 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 2: kitwoolsey to play 36

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 167, juggler 162
Position ID: 4HPkASLgc/ABMA Match ID: MIH5AAAAAAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 13/4*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,035	(Money: -0,034)
	0,488 0,133 0,004 - 0,512 0,140 0,007
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,048
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,048
3.	Double, take	-0,421	-0,373
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/4*	-0,078
			0,479 0,139 0,006 - 0,521 0,148 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/15	-0,155 ( -0,077)
			0,468 0,110 0,004 - 0,532 0,158 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/21 24/18	-0,190 ( -0,112)
			0,461 0,101 0,004 - 0,539 0,156 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/18 13/10	-0,192 ( -0,114)
			0,459 0,110 0,004 - 0,541 0,160 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/21 13/7	-0,211 ( -0,133)
			0,447 0,116 0,004 - 0,553 0,155 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 3: juggler to play 16

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 158, juggler 166
Position ID: yOfgATDgc+QBUA Match ID: cIn4AAAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/18

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,054	(Money: +0,053)
	0,521 0,148 0,007 - 0,479 0,139 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,078
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,922
3.	Double, take	-0,219	-0,297
Proper cube action:		No double, take (24,4%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,043)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/24 11/5	-0,130
			0,473 0,136 0,007 - 0,527 0,168 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/24 13/7	-0,170 ( -0,040)
			0,463 0,134 0,006 - 0,537 0,175 0,011
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	2	bar/18	-0,173 ( -0,043)
			0,470 0,117 0,006 - 0,530 0,184 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/24 8/2	-0,323 ( -0,193)
			0,426 0,124 0,006 - 0,574 0,196 0,013
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 4: kitwoolsey to play 15

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 158, juggler 159
Position ID: 4HPkQSDI5+ABMA Match ID: MIH0AAAAAAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 8/3 4/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,130	(Money: +0,127)
	0,530 0,184 0,008 - 0,470 0,117 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,173
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,827
3.	Double, take	-0,075	-0,248
Proper cube action:		No double, take (23,1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/3 4/3	-0,034
			0,483 0,147 0,004 - 0,517 0,130 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/7* 6/1*	-0,050 ( -0,016)
			0,485 0,162 0,007 - 0,515 0,162 0,011
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/23 13/8	-0,129 ( -0,095)
			0,463 0,130 0,004 - 0,537 0,141 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/7*	-0,144 ( -0,111)
			0,464 0,137 0,006 - 0,536 0,162 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/23 6/1*	-0,185 ( -0,151)
			0,451 0,130 0,004 - 0,549 0,153 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 5: juggler to play 15

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 152, juggler 159
Position ID: jM/gATDgc+RBIA Match ID: cIn0AAAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/18

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,018	(Money: +0,018)
	0,517 0,130 0,005 - 0,483 0,147 0,004
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,034
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,966
3.	Double, take	-0,289	-0,322
Proper cube action:		No double, take (25,0%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/18	+0,094
			0,530 0,114 0,003 - 0,470 0,112 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	18/13 11/10	-0,117 ( -0,210)
			0,485 0,115 0,005 - 0,515 0,171 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/23 18/13	-0,137 ( -0,231)
			0,483 0,109 0,004 - 0,517 0,180 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	18/13 6/5	-0,168 ( -0,262)
			0,479 0,114 0,004 - 0,521 0,188 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	13/8 11/10	-0,235 ( -0,329)
			0,458 0,117 0,007 - 0,542 0,207 0,008
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 6: kitwoolsey to play 11

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 152, juggler 153
Position ID: 4HPkwQCMz+ABMA Match ID: MIHkAAAAAAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 24/22 6/5(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,063	(Money: -0,063)
	0,470 0,112 0,002 - 0,530 0,114 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,094
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,094
3.	Double, take	-0,498	-0,405
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27,0%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/22 6/5(2)	+0,048
			0,507 0,124 0,002 - 0,493 0,099 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/23 6/5(3)	+0,034 ( -0,014)
			0,502 0,126 0,002 - 0,498 0,102 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/4 6/5(2)	-0,033 ( -0,081)
			0,483 0,130 0,003 - 0,517 0,113 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/21 6/5	-0,056 ( -0,104)
			0,481 0,118 0,003 - 0,519 0,115 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/23(2) 6/5(2)	-0,056 ( -0,104)
			0,476 0,118 0,002 - 0,524 0,103 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 7: juggler to play 22

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 148, juggler 153
Position ID: zM7gASTgc+TBAA Match ID: cAnpAAAAAAAA

• juggler moves 13/11(2) 6/4(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,039	(Money: -0,039)
	0,493 0,099 0,003 - 0,507 0,124 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,048
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,048
3.	Double, take	-0,420	-0,372
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/11(2) 6/4(2)	+0,294
			0,587 0,118 0,003 - 0,413 0,090 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/11 8/4 6/4	+0,223 ( -0,071)
			0,566 0,123 0,003 - 0,434 0,100 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/11 6/4(3)	+0,211 ( -0,083)
			0,564 0,113 0,003 - 0,436 0,097 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	18/16(2) 6/4(2)	+0,157 ( -0,137)
			0,560 0,094 0,002 - 0,440 0,111 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	18/16(2) 13/11(2)	+0,095 ( -0,199)
			0,541 0,082 0,002 - 0,459 0,106 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 8: kitwoolsey to play 55

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 148, juggler 145
Position ID: mHOcwQDMzuABJA Match ID: MIH2AAAAAAAA

• kitwoolsey moves 13/3(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,205	(Money: -0,204)
	0,413 0,090 0,002 - 0,587 0,118 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,294
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,294
3.	Double, take	-0,824	-0,530
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/3(2)	-0,327
			0,409 0,112 0,002 - 0,591 0,142 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/3 13/8 6/1	-0,333 ( -0,006)
			0,408 0,122 0,002 - 0,592 0,153 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/8(4)	-0,351 ( -0,024)
			0,393 0,079 0,001 - 0,607 0,092 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/8(2) 6/1(2)	-0,356 ( -0,029)
			0,406 0,118 0,001 - 0,594 0,161 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/3 6/1(2)	-0,454 ( -0,127)
			0,386 0,109 0,001 - 0,614 0,178 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 9: juggler to play 55

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 128, juggler 145
Position ID: PDuDASSYc5zBAA Match ID: cIn2AAAAAAAA

• juggler moves 11/1* 8/3*(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,216	(Money: +0,215)
	0,591 0,142 0,005 - 0,409 0,112 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,327
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,673
3.	Double, take	+0,164	-0,163
Proper cube action:		No double, take (19,5%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0,246)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,405)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/3*(2)	+0,907
			0,701 0,265 0,009 - 0,299 0,068 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/3* 11/6 8/3	+0,824 ( -0,083)
			0,676 0,278 0,012 - 0,324 0,094 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	18/13(2) 8/3*(2)	+0,790 ( -0,117)
			0,694 0,193 0,008 - 0,306 0,071 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	18/3* 8/3	+0,739 ( -0,168)
			0,684 0,224 0,013 - 0,316 0,093 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	5	2	11/1* 8/3*(2)	+0,661 ( -0,246)
			0,650 0,308 0,009 - 0,350 0,127 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

It was too tempting to put 2 checker of* Kit Woolsey* on the bar :-). I still think it looks pretty good, but gnubg's suggestion is just rock solid no-risk full-control.

Move number 10: kitwoolsey to play 62

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 132, juggler 125
Position ID: 2ZyYwQA8O4MBYA Match ID: MAHrAAAAAAAA

• kitwoolsey moves bar/23

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,491	(Money: -0,484)
	0,350 0,127 0,005 - 0,650 0,308 0,009
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,661
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,661
3.	Double, take	-1,462	-0,801
Proper cube action:		No double, take (32,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23	-0,715
			0,352 0,110 0,002 - 0,648 0,279 0,012
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 11: juggler doubles to 2

Pip counts: kitwoolsey 130, juggler 125
Position ID: PDuDAUjZnJjBAA Match ID: cBHgAAAAAAAA

• kitwoolsey rejects

Alert: wrong pass ( -0,265)! [very bad]

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,487	(Money: +0,479)
	0,650 0,281 0,010 - 0,350 0,108 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	Double, take	+0,735
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,265
3.	No double	+0,675	-0,060
Proper cube action:		Double, take

Annotation

Kit's 3pt board is good enough to make the error of the drop too big even with a skewed MET ;-).

juggler wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 1
Player	kitwoolsey	juggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves	5	5
Unforced moves	4	5
Unmarked moves	0	0
Moves marked good	5	3
Moves marked doubtful	0	1
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	1
Error rate (total)	+0,000	-0,289 ( -1,824%)
Error rate (per move)	+0,0	-57,8 ( -0,365%)
Chequerplay rating	Supernatural	Awful!
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	0	0
Rolls marked lucky	0	1
Rolls unmarked	5	4
Rolls marked unlucky	0	0
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck rate (total)	-0,629 ( -3,971%)	+0,464 ( +2,928%)
Luck rate (per move)	-125,8 ( -0,794%)	+92,7 ( +0,586%)
Luck rating	Haaa-haaa	Go to Las Vegas immediately
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	6	5
Close or actual cube decisions	1	1
Doubles	0	1
Takes	0	0
Passes	1	0
Missed doubles (below CP)	0	0
Missed doubles (above CP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (below DP)	0	0
Wrong doubles (above TG)	0	0
Wrong takes	0	0
Wrong passes	1 (-0,265 ( -1,671%))	0
Error rate (total)	-0,265 ( -1,671%)	+0,000
Error rate (per cube decision)	-264,6 ( -1,671%)	+0,0
Cube decision rating	Awful!	Supernatural
Overall statistics
Error rate (total)	-0,265 ( -1,671%)	-0,289 ( -1,824%)
Error rate (per decision)	-52,9 ( -0,334%)	-48,1 ( -0,304%)
Equiv. Snowie error rate	-26,5	-28,9
Overall rating	Awful!	Awful!
Actual result	-6,31%	+6,31%
Luck adjusted result	+0,58%	-0,58%

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Output generated Sat Jun 28 15:46:46 2008 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-mingw (HTML Export version 1.183)