Game number 1

The score (after 0 games) is: falafelBG 0, juggler 0 (match to 11 points)

Match Information

Date	Mai 09, 2009
Event	FibsLeaGammon Exhibition Match 2009
Place	FIBS
Annotator	juggler
Comment	Franck "Tomawaky" Del Rio, the organizer of FibsLeaGammon, managed to arrange a public match between Matvey "Falafel" Natanzon and the winner of the 2009 Masters Tournament. A few good rolls got me in that position and I had the honor to play the No 1 of the BG Giants List. My late grandmother would have said "That's the way you play with students!" and laughed her head off. Falafel was much politer :-).

Move number 1: juggler to play 52

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 167, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: cIhqAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/22 13/8

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/11 13/8	+0,039
			0,507 0,151 0,007 - 0,493 0,138 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	24/22 13/8	+0,036 ( -0,003)
			0,509 0,136 0,005 - 0,491 0,130 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/8 6/4	-0,012 ( -0,051)
			0,496 0,139 0,005 - 0,504 0,139 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/6	-0,041 ( -0,080)
			0,488 0,137 0,006 - 0,512 0,143 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/11 8/3	-0,117 ( -0,156)
			0,471 0,138 0,006 - 0,529 0,160 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 2: falafelBG to play 51

Pip counts: falafelBG 167, juggler 160
Position ID: 4PPgASTgc/ABMA Match ID: MIFmAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 24/23 13/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,027	(Money: -0,027)
	0,491 0,130 0,004 - 0,509 0,136 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,036
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,036
3.	Double, take	-0,405	-0,369
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/23 13/8	-0,119
			0,473 0,119 0,003 - 0,527 0,147 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/18	-0,159 ( -0,040)
			0,468 0,099 0,003 - 0,532 0,150 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	24/23 6/1*	-0,182 ( -0,062)
			0,456 0,112 0,003 - 0,544 0,152 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/23 8/3*	-0,185 ( -0,066)
			0,455 0,118 0,004 - 0,545 0,159 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/8 6/5	-0,195 ( -0,076)
			0,455 0,115 0,004 - 0,545 0,160 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 3: juggler to play 31

Pip counts: falafelBG 161, juggler 160
Position ID: 4PPgASjg8+ABJA Match ID: cIllAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 8/5 6/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,084	(Money: +0,084)
	0,527 0,147 0,004 - 0,473 0,119 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,119
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,881
3.	Double, take	-0,160	-0,279
Proper cube action:		No double, take (24,1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/5 6/5	+0,273
			0,570 0,166 0,006 - 0,430 0,110 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/21 22/21	+0,135 ( -0,139)
			0,532 0,122 0,003 - 0,468 0,089 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	22/21 13/10	-0,036 ( -0,310)
			0,491 0,131 0,005 - 0,509 0,141 0,004
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	22/18	-0,047 ( -0,320)
			0,496 0,115 0,004 - 0,504 0,145 0,003
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	24/20	-0,052 ( -0,326)
			0,491 0,115 0,004 - 0,509 0,138 0,003
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 4: falafelBG to play 14

Pip counts: falafelBG 161, juggler 156
Position ID: sOfgASTg8+ABKA Match ID: MIFwAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 23/18

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,199	(Money: -0,199)
	0,430 0,110 0,003 - 0,570 0,166 0,006
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,273
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,273
3.	Double, take	-0,789	-0,516
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	23/18	-0,472
			0,400 0,088 0,003 - 0,600 0,217 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/8	-0,474 ( -0,002)
			0,391 0,092 0,002 - 0,609 0,204 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/1*	-0,510 ( -0,038)
			0,384 0,090 0,002 - 0,616 0,205 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/3*	-0,519 ( -0,047)
			0,383 0,094 0,003 - 0,617 0,207 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/23 13/9	-0,569 ( -0,097)
			0,359 0,086 0,002 - 0,641 0,177 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 5: juggler to play 13

Pip counts: falafelBG 156, juggler 156
Position ID: 4PPgQSCw5+ABJA Match ID: cIlsAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 13/10 8/7*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,334	(Money: +0,334)
	0,600 0,217 0,007 - 0,400 0,088 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,472
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,528
3.	Double, take	+0,387	-0,085
Proper cube action:		No double, take (13,8%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/10 8/7*	+0,529
			0,615 0,219 0,012 - 0,385 0,099 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	24/21 8/7*	+0,456 ( -0,073)
			0,601 0,194 0,011 - 0,399 0,093 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	8/7*/4	+0,384 ( -0,144)
			0,583 0,198 0,009 - 0,417 0,108 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/7* 8/5	+0,348 ( -0,180)
			0,571 0,207 0,010 - 0,429 0,111 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/21 22/21	+0,289 ( -0,240)
			0,566 0,140 0,003 - 0,434 0,062 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 6: falafelBG to play 43

Pip counts: falafelBG 163, juggler 152
Position ID: sNfEASTg8+ABUA Match ID: MAFuAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/18*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,357	(Money: -0,356)
	0,385 0,099 0,004 - 0,615 0,219 0,012
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,529
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,529
3.	Double, take	-1,180	-0,651
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/18*	-0,186
			0,463 0,123 0,007 - 0,537 0,183 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/21 24/21	-0,191 ( -0,005)
			0,443 0,090 0,002 - 0,557 0,110 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	0	bar/21 6/3*	-0,542 ( -0,356)
			0,379 0,095 0,004 - 0,621 0,246 0,013
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	bar/21 13/10	-0,738 ( -0,552)
			0,349 0,089 0,003 - 0,651 0,268 0,014
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	bar/22 13/9	-0,786 ( -0,601)
			0,342 0,087 0,003 - 0,658 0,271 0,015
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 7: juggler to play 31

Pip counts: falafelBG 156, juggler 170
Position ID: 4PPgQSCwZ+IAUg Match ID: cIllAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/24 10/7*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,135	(Money: +0,135)
	0,537 0,183 0,007 - 0,463 0,123 0,007
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,186
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,814
3.	Double, take	-0,054	-0,239
Proper cube action:		No double, take (22,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/24 10/7*	+0,268
			0,561 0,196 0,010 - 0,439 0,126 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/22 8/7*	+0,205 ( -0,063)
			0,546 0,191 0,008 - 0,454 0,136 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/22 6/5	+0,037 ( -0,232)
			0,500 0,153 0,004 - 0,500 0,123 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/24 13/10	+0,036 ( -0,232)
			0,504 0,156 0,005 - 0,496 0,134 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/22 10/9	+0,019 ( -0,249)
			0,496 0,149 0,004 - 0,504 0,123 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 8: falafelBG to play 62

Pip counts: falafelBG 163, juggler 166
Position ID: sNfgADLg8+ABUA Match ID: MAFrAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/23 24/18*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,195	(Money: -0,195)
	0,439 0,126 0,007 - 0,561 0,196 0,010
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,268
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,268
3.	Double, take	-0,776	-0,507
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/23 24/18*	+0,020
			0,505 0,156 0,012 - 0,495 0,156 0,006
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	bar/23 8/2	-0,488 ( -0,508)
			0,386 0,113 0,006 - 0,614 0,236 0,014
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	bar/23 13/7	-0,535 ( -0,556)
			0,377 0,107 0,005 - 0,623 0,244 0,015
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 9: juggler to play 23

Pip counts: falafelBG 155, juggler 184
Position ID: 4PPgQRCwZ3AAWQ Match ID: cAltAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/22 13/11

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,035	(Money: -0,035)
	0,488 0,150 0,005 - 0,512 0,156 0,011
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,047
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,047
3.	Double, take	-0,423	-0,375
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,4%)

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,046)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	bar/22 6/4	-0,073
			0,486 0,144 0,005 - 0,514 0,166 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/22 24/22	-0,100 ( -0,027)
			0,470 0,138 0,004 - 0,530 0,147 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/20	-0,112 ( -0,038)
			0,473 0,138 0,005 - 0,527 0,157 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/23 24/21	-0,116 ( -0,043)
			0,472 0,140 0,006 - 0,528 0,164 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	5	2	bar/22 13/11	-0,120 ( -0,046)
			0,472 0,143 0,005 - 0,528 0,169 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 10: falafelBG to play 42

Pip counts: falafelBG 155, juggler 179
Position ID: sGdkADPg8+BBEA Match ID: MAFqAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 8/4 6/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,088	(Money: +0,087)
	0,528 0,169 0,010 - 0,472 0,143 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,120
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,880
3.	Double, take	-0,156	-0,276
Proper cube action:		No double, take (23,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/4 6/4	+0,231
			0,553 0,198 0,016 - 0,447 0,144 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	23/21 18/14*	+0,218 ( -0,013)
			0,549 0,183 0,013 - 0,451 0,128 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	18/14* 13/11	+0,185 ( -0,046)
			0,539 0,191 0,014 - 0,461 0,138 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	18/14* 8/6	+0,133 ( -0,098)
			0,525 0,182 0,013 - 0,475 0,139 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	18/14* 6/4	+0,032 ( -0,199)
			0,509 0,168 0,011 - 0,491 0,165 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 11: juggler to play 62

Pip counts: falafelBG 149, juggler 179
Position ID: mOfgQRCwZ2QAMw Match ID: cAlrAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 13/11 13/7*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,172	(Money: -0,171)
	0,447 0,144 0,006 - 0,553 0,198 0,016
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,231
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,231
3.	Double, take	-0,720	-0,489
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/11 13/7*	-0,213
			0,452 0,142 0,005 - 0,548 0,196 0,013
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/7*/5	-0,214 ( -0,001)
			0,451 0,153 0,006 - 0,549 0,202 0,015
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	22/20 13/7*	-0,314 ( -0,101)
			0,439 0,134 0,007 - 0,561 0,236 0,033
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	24/22 13/7*	-0,318 ( -0,105)
			0,434 0,133 0,005 - 0,566 0,224 0,016
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/22 11/5	-0,326 ( -0,113)
			0,413 0,123 0,003 - 0,587 0,173 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 12: falafelBG to play 36

Pip counts: falafelBG 156, juggler 171
Position ID: sNcYADOY5+ABSA Match ID: MIF5AQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/16

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,157	(Money: +0,157)
	0,548 0,196 0,013 - 0,452 0,142 0,005
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,213
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,787
3.	Double, take	-0,006	-0,219
Proper cube action:		No double, take (21,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/16	+0,220
			0,561 0,184 0,013 - 0,439 0,153 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/22 13/7	-0,050 ( -0,270)
			0,494 0,174 0,013 - 0,506 0,195 0,011
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/22 8/2	-0,076 ( -0,297)
			0,487 0,169 0,011 - 0,513 0,198 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 13: juggler to play 43

Pip counts: falafelBG 147, juggler 171
Position ID: mOfgERCw1xgAMw Match ID: cAluAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 11/8 11/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,159	(Money: -0,159)
	0,439 0,153 0,006 - 0,561 0,184 0,013
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,220
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,220
3.	Double, take	-0,709	-0,489
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	7/3 6/3	-0,228
			0,435 0,152 0,004 - 0,565 0,171 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	11/8 11/7	-0,236 ( -0,008)
			0,438 0,130 0,003 - 0,562 0,166 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	8/4 7/4	-0,300 ( -0,072)
			0,424 0,140 0,005 - 0,576 0,190 0,013
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	11/7 6/3	-0,331 ( -0,103)
			0,431 0,124 0,003 - 0,569 0,216 0,014
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	24/20 7/4	-0,440 ( -0,212)
			0,404 0,116 0,004 - 0,596 0,220 0,014
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 14: falafelBG to play 65

Pip counts: falafelBG 147, juggler 164
Position ID: sLcDADOY5+AREA Match ID: MAF3AQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 16/10 13/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,164	(Money: +0,163)
	0,562 0,166 0,007 - 0,438 0,130 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,236
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,764
3.	Double, take	+0,024	-0,212
Proper cube action:		No double, take (21,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	16/10 13/8	+0,023
			0,507 0,156 0,007 - 0,493 0,154 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/2	-0,051 ( -0,074)
			0,494 0,161 0,009 - 0,506 0,187 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	16/5	-0,085 ( -0,108)
			0,486 0,144 0,007 - 0,514 0,175 0,007
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	16/11 13/7	-0,098 ( -0,121)
			0,484 0,155 0,008 - 0,516 0,191 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/8 13/7	-0,128 ( -0,151)
			0,477 0,152 0,008 - 0,523 0,193 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 15: juggler to play 52

Pip counts: falafelBG 136, juggler 164
Position ID: mOeJAxCwtwMAMw Match ID: cIlqAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 22/15*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,019	(Money: -0,019)
	0,493 0,154 0,005 - 0,507 0,156 0,007
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,023
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,023
3.	Double, take	-0,388	-0,365
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	22/15*	+0,158
			0,539 0,182 0,009 - 0,461 0,146 0,008
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	8/3 6/4	-0,333 ( -0,492)
			0,436 0,122 0,003 - 0,564 0,231 0,018
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	24/22 8/3	-0,351 ( -0,509)
			0,416 0,120 0,003 - 0,584 0,202 0,008
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	24/22 6/1	-0,412 ( -0,571)
			0,388 0,113 0,002 - 0,612 0,180 0,005
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	7/5 7/2*	-0,457 ( -0,616)
			0,387 0,113 0,002 - 0,613 0,209 0,012
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Annotation

Nice roll. This looks quite promising.

Move number 16: falafelBG to play 24

Pip counts: falafelBG 151, juggler 157
Position ID: sLcDAjKY58EBSA Match ID: MAFxAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/21 23/21

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,125	(Money: -0,125)
	0,457 0,149 0,008 - 0,543 0,188 0,008
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,170
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,170
3.	Double, take	-0,628	-0,458
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,1%)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,386)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	bar/21 23/21	+0,243
			0,560 0,147 0,009 - 0,440 0,096 0,002
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	bar/21 8/6	-0,245 ( -0,488)
			0,443 0,138 0,008 - 0,557 0,203 0,009
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	bar/21 6/4	-0,248 ( -0,491)
			0,443 0,137 0,008 - 0,557 0,205 0,008
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	bar/23 8/4	-0,327 ( -0,570)
			0,408 0,124 0,005 - 0,592 0,170 0,007
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	bar/21 13/11	-0,377 ( -0,620)
			0,416 0,132 0,008 - 0,584 0,236 0,014
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Annotation

Ah, pity. Suddenly my well positioned 4-prime has lost much of its appeal.

Move number 17: juggler to play 54

Pip counts: falafelBG 145, juggler 157
Position ID: mOfBAQawtwMCMg Match ID: cIlyAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/15

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,173	(Money: -0,172)
	0,444 0,096 0,002 - 0,556 0,150 0,007
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,232
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,232
3.	Double, take	-0,720	-0,488
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/15	-0,075
			0,496 0,098 0,002 - 0,504 0,145 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	22/18 15/10	-0,346 ( -0,271)
			0,420 0,101 0,003 - 0,580 0,180 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	15/6	-0,352 ( -0,277)
			0,410 0,095 0,002 - 0,590 0,156 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	15/11 8/3	-0,370 ( -0,295)
			0,410 0,111 0,003 - 0,590 0,180 0,011
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	22/13	-0,377 ( -0,302)
			0,416 0,094 0,002 - 0,584 0,182 0,010
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 18: falafelBG to play 26

Pip counts: falafelBG 145, juggler 148
Position ID: sLcDBiSY58EBBg Match ID: MAF5AQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 8/2 6/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,056	(Money: +0,056)
	0,504 0,145 0,004 - 0,496 0,098 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,075
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,925
3.	Double, take	-0,237	-0,311
Proper cube action:		No double, take (25,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/2 6/4	-0,139
			0,451 0,109 0,002 - 0,549 0,104 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/6 8/2	-0,176 ( -0,037)
			0,440 0,108 0,002 - 0,560 0,107 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/5	-0,194 ( -0,055)
			0,436 0,114 0,003 - 0,564 0,115 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	21/13	-0,215 ( -0,076)
			0,457 0,107 0,004 - 0,543 0,169 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/11 8/2	-0,240 ( -0,101)
			0,427 0,109 0,003 - 0,573 0,121 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 19: juggler to play 33

Pip counts: falafelBG 137, juggler 148
Position ID: cs7BAQawtwMGJA Match ID: cIltAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 8/2 6/3(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,093	(Money: +0,093)
	0,549 0,104 0,002 - 0,451 0,109 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,139
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,861
3.	Double, take	-0,117	-0,256
Proper cube action:		No double, take (22,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/2 6/3(2)	-0,034
			0,507 0,126 0,003 - 0,493 0,169 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/3(2) 5/2(2)	-0,203 ( -0,169)
			0,466 0,117 0,003 - 0,534 0,195 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	8/5(2) 6/3(2)	-0,217 ( -0,184)
			0,461 0,132 0,004 - 0,539 0,199 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/2 8/5(2)	-0,276 ( -0,242)
			0,446 0,121 0,003 - 0,554 0,205 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	8/5(3) 6/3	-0,277 ( -0,243)
			0,448 0,122 0,004 - 0,552 0,210 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

There are not too many playable 3s.

Move number 20: falafelBG to play 51

Pip counts: falafelBG 137, juggler 136
Position ID: mm0DBiRyzsEBBg Match ID: MIFmAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 8/3*/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,032	(Money: +0,032)
	0,493 0,169 0,006 - 0,507 0,126 0,003
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,034
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,966
3.	Double, take	-0,298	-0,332
Proper cube action:		No double, take (25,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/3*/2	+0,228
			0,538 0,208 0,008 - 0,462 0,111 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/3* 4/3	+0,163 ( -0,065)
			0,525 0,203 0,010 - 0,475 0,130 0,006
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/1* 2/1	+0,090 ( -0,138)
			0,505 0,180 0,005 - 0,495 0,116 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/2	+0,072 ( -0,157)
			0,505 0,153 0,004 - 0,495 0,106 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	13/8 2/1*	-0,118 ( -0,347)
			0,457 0,132 0,004 - 0,543 0,125 0,003
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 21: juggler to play 55

Pip counts: falafelBG 131, juggler 139
Position ID: 5pzBAQaabQMGUA Match ID: cIl2AQAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,177	(Money: -0,177)
	0,462 0,111 0,004 - 0,538 0,208 0,008
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,228
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,228
3.	Double, take	-0,712	-0,483
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,2%)

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,375)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/5	+0,190
			0,564 0,106 0,002 - 0,436 0,103 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	bar/10 15/10	+0,095 ( -0,096)
			0,543 0,110 0,003 - 0,457 0,135 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	bar/15 7/2(2)	+0,070 ( -0,120)
			0,526 0,109 0,002 - 0,474 0,115 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	bar/20 15/10(2) 7/2	-0,035 ( -0,226)
			0,502 0,146 0,004 - 0,498 0,169 0,009
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	bar/15 8/3(2)	-0,056 ( -0,246)
			0,495 0,101 0,002 - 0,505 0,132 0,003
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 22: falafelBG to play 54

Pip counts: falafelBG 131, juggler 119
Position ID: mtsGDCDmnMEBBg Match ID: MIFyAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 13/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,130	(Money: -0,130)
	0,436 0,103 0,002 - 0,564 0,106 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,190
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,190
3.	Double, take	-0,656	-0,466
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	13/4	-0,279
			0,410 0,082 0,002 - 0,590 0,091 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	13/8 6/2	-0,359 ( -0,080)
			0,391 0,072 0,001 - 0,609 0,098 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/9 6/1*	-0,396 ( -0,118)
			0,388 0,104 0,002 - 0,612 0,140 0,005
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/9 13/8	-0,429 ( -0,150)
			0,372 0,089 0,003 - 0,628 0,128 0,004
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/9 8/3	-0,442 ( -0,164)
			0,378 0,091 0,002 - 0,622 0,168 0,008
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 23: juggler to play 65

Pip counts: falafelBG 122, juggler 119
Position ID: 5jmDAQaa2wYMIA Match ID: cAl3AQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/13

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,190	(Money: +0,190)
	0,590 0,091 0,002 - 0,410 0,082 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,279
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,721
3.	Double, take	+0,104	-0,175
Proper cube action:		No double, take (19,5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/13	+0,435
			0,631 0,088 0,002 - 0,369 0,064 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/3 8/2	+0,316 ( -0,118)
			0,587 0,130 0,002 - 0,413 0,081 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	7/2 7/1	+0,254 ( -0,181)
			0,576 0,133 0,002 - 0,424 0,099 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	24/18 7/2	+0,018 ( -0,417)
			0,518 0,121 0,002 - 0,482 0,150 0,004
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	24/18 8/3	-0,133 ( -0,568)
			0,484 0,116 0,002 - 0,516 0,186 0,005
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 24: falafelBG to play 53

Pip counts: falafelBG 122, juggler 108
Position ID: mtsGGQDmOYMBBg Match ID: MIFuAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 8/3 6/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,286	(Money: -0,286)
	0,369 0,064 0,002 - 0,631 0,088 0,002
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,435
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,435
3.	Double, take	-1,019	-0,584
Proper cube action:		No double, take (28,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	6/1 4/1	-0,558
			0,325 0,027 0,000 - 0,675 0,047 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	8/3 4/1	-0,560 ( -0,002)
			0,325 0,026 0,000 - 0,675 0,047 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	8/5 8/3	-0,572 ( -0,014)
			0,321 0,025 0,000 - 0,679 0,046 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	4	2	8/3 6/3	-0,573 ( -0,015)
			0,322 0,025 0,000 - 0,678 0,047 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	8/5 6/1	-0,604 ( -0,046)
			0,315 0,024 0,000 - 0,685 0,047 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 25: juggler to play 12

Pip counts: falafelBG 114, juggler 108
Position ID: tmeCAQaa2wYZAA Match ID: cIloAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 13/11 3/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,379	(Money: +0,379)
	0,678 0,047 0,001 - 0,322 0,025 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,573
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,427
3.	Double, take	+0,541	-0,033
Proper cube action:		No double, take (7,1%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	13/11 2/1	+0,414
			0,629 0,068 0,001 - 0,371 0,042 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	13/11 3/2	+0,413 ( -0,001)
			0,630 0,066 0,001 - 0,370 0,042 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	5/2	+0,302 ( -0,113)
			0,596 0,090 0,002 - 0,404 0,074 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	15/14 15/13	+0,262 ( -0,152)
			0,593 0,064 0,001 - 0,407 0,078 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/10	+0,220 ( -0,194)
			0,578 0,084 0,002 - 0,422 0,087 0,002
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 26: falafelBG to play 32

Pip counts: falafelBG 114, juggler 105
Position ID: lttGGAC2Z4IBBg Match ID: MIFpAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 8/6 4/1

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,284	(Money: -0,284)
	0,370 0,042 0,001 - 0,630 0,066 0,001
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,413
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,413
3.	Double, take	-0,996	-0,583
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/6 4/1	-0,533
			0,334 0,026 0,000 - 0,666 0,050 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	4/1 3/1	-0,535 ( -0,002)
			0,333 0,025 0,000 - 0,667 0,052 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	4/2 4/1	-0,554 ( -0,021)
			0,329 0,025 0,000 - 0,671 0,053 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/5 4/2	-0,555 ( -0,022)
			0,328 0,026 0,000 - 0,672 0,052 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	8/5 3/1	-0,590 ( -0,057)
			0,320 0,026 0,000 - 0,680 0,056 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 27: juggler to play 14

Pip counts: falafelBG 109, juggler 105
Position ID: beeAAQaW20YYAA Match ID: cIlwAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 11/6

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,357	(Money: +0,357)
	0,666 0,050 0,001 - 0,334 0,026 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,533
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,467
3.	Double, take	+0,489	-0,044
Proper cube action:		No double, take (8,7%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	11/6	+0,530
			0,662 0,059 0,000 - 0,338 0,022 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	11/7 3/2	+0,433 ( -0,098)
			0,636 0,053 0,000 - 0,364 0,026 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	11/7 2/1	+0,421 ( -0,110)
			0,630 0,061 0,001 - 0,370 0,026 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/6 7/3	+0,410 ( -0,121)
			0,622 0,086 0,002 - 0,378 0,043 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	5/1 2/1	+0,314 ( -0,216)
			0,604 0,070 0,001 - 0,396 0,056 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 28: falafelBG to play 42

Pip counts: falafelBG 109, juggler 100
Position ID: lrsNGABt54ABBg Match ID: MAFqAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 6/2 4/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,361	(Money: -0,361)
	0,338 0,022 0,000 - 0,662 0,059 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,530
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,530
3.	Double, take	-1,170	-0,640
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	6/2 3/1	-0,673
			0,305 0,019 0,000 - 0,695 0,062 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	6/2 4/2	-0,694 ( -0,021)
			0,302 0,017 0,000 - 0,698 0,065 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	13/11 13/9	-0,695 ( -0,023)
			0,293 0,026 0,000 - 0,707 0,057 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/4 6/2	-0,747 ( -0,074)
			0,292 0,016 0,000 - 0,708 0,069 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	13/7	-0,748 ( -0,076)
			0,283 0,028 0,000 - 0,717 0,062 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 29: juggler to play 16

Pip counts: falafelBG 103, juggler 100
Position ID: vc2AAQaWuw0YAA Match ID: cIl4AQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 8/7 8/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,445	(Money: +0,445)
	0,698 0,065 0,001 - 0,302 0,017 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,694
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,306
3.	Double, take	+0,686	-0,007
Proper cube action:		No double, take (2,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	8/7 8/2	+0,687
			0,689 0,073 0,000 - 0,311 0,019 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	7/6 7/1	+0,627 ( -0,060)
			0,676 0,081 0,001 - 0,324 0,028 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	15/8	+0,523 ( -0,164)
			0,644 0,092 0,002 - 0,356 0,039 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	8/1	+0,433 ( -0,254)
			0,614 0,116 0,002 - 0,386 0,062 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	7/1 2/1	+0,389 ( -0,298)
			0,608 0,117 0,002 - 0,392 0,068 0,001
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 30: falafelBG to play 33

Pip counts: falafelBG 103, juggler 93
Position ID: LncHGAC9zYABBg Match ID: MIFtAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 6/3(2) 4/1(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,432	(Money: -0,432)
	0,311 0,019 0,000 - 0,689 0,073 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,687
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,687
3.	Double, take	-1,406	-0,719
Proper cube action:		No double, take (29,9%)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,351)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/3(2) 4/1(2)	-0,898
			0,271 0,009 0,000 - 0,729 0,093 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 31: juggler to play 44

Pip counts: falafelBG 91, juggler 93
Position ID: 9x6AAQYudwcYAA Match ID: cAlyAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 15/7(2)

Alert: missed double ( -0,118)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,583	(Money: +0,583)
	0,740 0,111 0,000 - 0,260 0,009 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	Double, take	+0,992
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,008
3.	No double	+0,873	-0,118
Proper cube action:		Double, take

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	15/11(2) 7/3 5/1	+0,949
			0,806 0,039 0,000 - 0,194 0,001 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	15/3 15/11	+0,948 ( -0,001)
			0,833 0,023 0,000 - 0,167 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	15/3 7/3	+0,947 ( -0,002)
			0,796 0,099 0,000 - 0,204 0,004 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	15/11(2) 7/3 6/2	+0,944 ( -0,005)
			0,795 0,032 0,000 - 0,205 0,002 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	5	2	15/7(2)	+0,942 ( -0,007)
			0,814 0,020 0,000 - 0,186 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

falafel commented on my missed double. I must admit that I refrained because I thought he needs only one double roll to get ahead... but it was such a narrow take that falafel may have passed, actually.

Move number 32: falafelBG to play 66

Pip counts: falafelBG 91, juggler 77
Position ID: LncfAAD3HoABBg Match ID: MAF7AQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 21/9 21/15 13/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,648	(Money: -0,648)
	0,186 0,000 0,000 - 0,814 0,020 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,942
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,942
3.	Double, take	-1,899	-0,957
Proper cube action:		No double, take (33,0%)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0,899)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	21/9 21/15 13/7	-0,054
			0,485 0,000 0,000 - 0,515 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	21/9(2)	-0,061 ( -0,007)
			0,482 0,000 0,000 - 0,518 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	21/15(2) 13/7(2)	-0,083 ( -0,029)
			0,474 0,000 0,000 - 0,526 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	21/3 21/15	-0,141 ( -0,087)
			0,454 0,000 0,000 - 0,546 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	21/15(2) 13/1	-0,244 ( -0,190)
			0,418 0,000 0,000 - 0,582 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 33: juggler to play 21

Pip counts: falafelBG 67, juggler 77
Position ID: 9x4SEgAudx8AAA Match ID: cAllAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 7/6 7/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,031	(Money: +0,031)
	0,515 0,000 0,000 - 0,485 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,054
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,946
3.	Double, take	-0,242	-0,296
Proper cube action:		No double, take (23,8%)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,334)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/6 7/5	-0,297
			0,399 0,000 0,000 - 0,601 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	7/4	-0,306 ( -0,009)
			0,395 0,000 0,000 - 0,605 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	7/5 2/1	-0,343 ( -0,046)
			0,382 0,000 0,000 - 0,618 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/4 2/1	-0,353 ( -0,056)
			0,378 0,000 0,000 - 0,622 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	6/4 5/4	-0,360 ( -0,064)
			0,376 0,000 0,000 - 0,624 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 34: falafelBG to play 61

Pip counts: falafelBG 67, juggler 74
Position ID: Lu8dAAD3HhISAA Match ID: MAFnAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 13/6

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,203	(Money: +0,203)
	0,601 0,000 0,000 - 0,399 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,297
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,703
3.	Double, take	+0,158	-0,138
Proper cube action:		No double, take (16,5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	15/9 7/6	+0,186
			0,569 0,000 0,000 - 0,431 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	15/9 13/12	+0,185 ( -0,000)
			0,569 0,000 0,000 - 0,431 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	2	13/6	+0,185 ( -0,001)
			0,568 0,000 0,000 - 0,432 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	15/8	+0,163 ( -0,023)
			0,561 0,000 0,000 - 0,439 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	15/14 13/7	+0,145 ( -0,041)
			0,554 0,000 0,000 - 0,446 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 35: juggler to play 24

Pip counts: falafelBG 60, juggler 74
Position ID: 9x4lEAAu7x0AAA Match ID: cAlxAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 7/3 6/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,137	(Money: -0,137)
	0,432 0,000 0,000 - 0,568 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,185
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,185
3.	Double, take	-0,621	-0,437
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	7/5 7/3	-0,344
			0,384 0,000 0,000 - 0,616 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	7/3 6/4	-0,358 ( -0,014)
			0,379 0,000 0,000 - 0,621 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/4 5/1	-0,450 ( -0,107)
			0,349 0,000 0,000 - 0,651 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/1	-0,452 ( -0,109)
			0,348 0,000 0,000 - 0,652 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	7/3 5/3	-0,461 ( -0,117)
			0,347 0,000 0,000 - 0,653 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 36: falafelBG on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: falafelBG 60, juggler 68
Position ID: br0bAAD3HiUQAA Match ID: MAFgAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0,106)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,241	(Money: +0,241)
	0,621 0,000 0,000 - 0,379 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,358
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,642
3.	Double, take	+0,252	-0,106
Proper cube action:		No double, take (14,2%)

Annotation

Maybe this was an attempt of a trick double? The pip indicates a pass, after all, but falafel has 2 more crossovers to make before bearoff and about 5 or 7 wasted pips already, if he manages to bear in perfectly from here.

Move number 37: falafelBG doubles to 2

Pip counts: falafelBG 60, juggler 68
Position ID: br0bAAD3HiUQAA Match ID: MBlgAQAAAAAA

• juggler accepts

Alert: wrong double ( -0,106)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0,241	(Money: +0,241)
	0,621 0,000 0,000 - 0,379 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	+0,358
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+0,642
3.	Double, take	+0,252	-0,106
Proper cube action:		No double, take (14,2%)

Move number 38: falafelBG to play 52

Pip counts: falafelBG 60, juggler 68
Position ID: br0bAAD3HiUQAA Match ID: EYFqAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 15/10 7/5

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	9/4 7/5	+0,101
			0,612 0,000 0,000 - 0,388 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	15/10 7/5	+0,092 ( -0,009)
			0,608 0,000 0,000 - 0,392 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	15/10 6/4	+0,078 ( -0,023)
			0,602 0,000 0,000 - 0,398 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	9/4 6/4	+0,053 ( -0,048)
			0,591 0,000 0,000 - 0,409 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	15/13 9/4	+0,050 ( -0,051)
			0,590 0,000 0,000 - 0,410 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 39: juggler to play 41

Pip counts: falafelBG 53, juggler 68
Position ID: 956iAABuvRsAAA Match ID: UQlmAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 7/6 7/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,216	(Money: -0,216)
	0,392 0,000 0,000 - 0,608 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,092
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,092
3.	Double, take	-0,892	-0,799
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (42,3%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/6 7/3	-0,284
			0,311 0,000 0,000 - 0,689 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	7/3 5/4	-0,297 ( -0,013)
			0,306 0,000 0,000 - 0,694 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	7/3 2/1	-0,300 ( -0,016)
			0,304 0,000 0,000 - 0,696 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/6 5/1	-0,323 ( -0,039)
			0,294 0,000 0,000 - 0,706 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	7/3 6/5	-0,330 ( -0,046)
			0,291 0,000 0,000 - 0,709 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 40: falafelBG to play 53

Pip counts: falafelBG 53, juggler 63
Position ID: 7noPAAD3nqIAAA Match ID: EYFuAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 10/7 9/4

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	10/7 9/4	+0,295
			0,695 0,000 0,000 - 0,305 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	10/5 9/6	+0,263 ( -0,031)
			0,681 0,000 0,000 - 0,319 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	9/4 6/3	+0,248 ( -0,046)
			0,674 0,000 0,000 - 0,326 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	10/5 6/3	+0,184 ( -0,110)
			0,647 0,000 0,000 - 0,353 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	9/4 5/2	+0,176 ( -0,118)
			0,643 0,000 0,000 - 0,357 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 41: juggler to play 32

Pip counts: falafelBG 45, juggler 63
Position ID: 914VAADueg8AAA Match ID: UYlpAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 3/off 2/off

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,389	(Money: -0,389)
	0,305 0,000 0,000 - 0,695 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,295
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,295
3.	Double, take	-1,461	-1,167
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (47,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	3/off 2/off	-0,416
			0,254 0,000 0,000 - 0,746 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/4 3/off	-0,465 ( -0,049)
			0,233 0,000 0,000 - 0,767 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/3 2/off	-0,505 ( -0,089)
			0,215 0,000 0,000 - 0,785 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	3/1 3/off	-0,510 ( -0,094)
			0,213 0,000 0,000 - 0,787 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	5/off	-0,520 ( -0,103)
			0,209 0,000 0,000 - 0,791 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 42: falafelBG to play 43

Pip counts: falafelBG 45, juggler 58
Position ID: tt4DAMC9VwUAAA Match ID: EQFuAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 7/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	7/off	+0,366
			0,726 0,000 0,000 - 0,274 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	7/4 6/2	+0,147 ( -0,219)
			0,630 0,000 0,000 - 0,370 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	7/4 5/1	+0,138 ( -0,228)
			0,626 0,000 0,000 - 0,374 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	7/3 6/3	+0,122 ( -0,244)
			0,619 0,000 0,000 - 0,381 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	7/3 5/2	+0,120 ( -0,246)
			0,618 0,000 0,000 - 0,382 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 43: juggler to play 33

Pip counts: falafelBG 38, juggler 58
Position ID: 914FAABb7wEAAA Match ID: UYltAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 6/off 3/off(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,451	(Money: -0,451)
	0,274 0,000 0,000 - 0,726 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,366
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,366
3.	Double, take	-1,637	-1,271
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (48,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 3/off(2)	-0,119
			0,386 0,000 0,000 - 0,614 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/off(2)	-0,157 ( -0,038)
			0,369 0,000 0,000 - 0,631 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/off 5/2 3/off	-0,196 ( -0,077)
			0,351 0,000 0,000 - 0,649 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/off 4/1 3/off	-0,247 ( -0,128)
			0,329 0,000 0,000 - 0,671 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	6/off 6/3 5/2	-0,288 ( -0,169)
			0,310 0,000 0,000 - 0,690 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 44: falafelBG to play 62

Pip counts: falafelBG 38, juggler 46
Position ID: pncAALj3KgAAAA Match ID: EQFrAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 6/off 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	6/off 2/off	+0,198
			0,651 0,000 0,000 - 0,349 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	6/off 3/1	-0,206 ( -0,404)
			0,476 0,000 0,000 - 0,524 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	6/off 4/2	-0,232 ( -0,430)
			0,464 0,000 0,000 - 0,536 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	6/4 5/off	-0,234 ( -0,432)
			0,463 0,000 0,000 - 0,537 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	6/off 5/3	-0,234 ( -0,432)
			0,463 0,000 0,000 - 0,537 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 45: juggler to play 11

Pip counts: falafelBG 30, juggler 46
Position ID: d68AAMD0DgAAAA Match ID: UYlkAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 2/off(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,303	(Money: -0,303)
	0,349 0,000 0,000 - 0,651 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,200
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,200
3.	Double, take	-1,190	-0,991
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (45,2%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	2/off(2)	-0,420
			0,253 0,000 0,000 - 0,747 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	5/3 2/off	-0,448 ( -0,028)
			0,241 0,000 0,000 - 0,759 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	5/4(2) 2/off	-0,453 ( -0,033)
			0,238 0,000 0,000 - 0,762 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	6/4 2/off	-0,461 ( -0,040)
			0,235 0,000 0,000 - 0,765 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	2	5/4 2/off 2/1	-0,471 ( -0,051)
			0,231 0,000 0,000 - 0,769 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 46: falafelBG to play 53

Pip counts: falafelBG 30, juggler 42
Position ID: 6B0AAO5eAQAAAA Match ID: EYFuAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 5/off 3/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	5/off 3/off	+0,453
			0,762 0,000 0,000 - 0,238 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	2	0	5/off 4/1	-0,029 ( -0,481)
			0,553 0,000 0,000 - 0,447 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	3	0	5/2 4/off	-0,036 ( -0,489)
			0,549 0,000 0,000 - 0,451 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 47: juggler to play 46

Pip counts: falafelBG 22, juggler 42
Position ID: dxcAAEDvAAAAAA Match ID: UQl6AQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 6/off 4/off

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,522	(Money: -0,522)
	0,239 0,000 0,000 - 0,761 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,448
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,448
3.	Double, take	-1,735	-1,287
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (47,0%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/off 4/off	-0,401
			0,266 0,000 0,000 - 0,734 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/off 5/1	-0,436 ( -0,036)
			0,248 0,000 0,000 - 0,752 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	6/2 6/off	-0,455 ( -0,054)
			0,241 0,000 0,000 - 0,759 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 48: falafelBG to play 22

Pip counts: falafelBG 22, juggler 32
Position ID: 8AYAgLsLAAAAAA Match ID: EQFpAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 4/off 2/off(2)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	3/1 2/off(3)	+0,457
			0,742 0,000 0,000 - 0,258 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	2	4/off 2/off(2)	+0,452 ( -0,005)
			0,739 0,000 0,000 - 0,261 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	4/off 3/1 2/off	+0,448 ( -0,009)
			0,737 0,000 0,000 - 0,263 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	3/1(2) 2/off(2)	+0,412 ( -0,044)
			0,723 0,000 0,000 - 0,277 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	0	3/1(3) 2/off	-0,266 ( -0,723)
			0,449 0,000 0,000 - 0,551 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 49: juggler to play 44

Pip counts: falafelBG 14, juggler 32
Position ID: 1wEAAPAGAAAAAA Match ID: UQlyAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 6/2(2) 5/1(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,478	(Money: -0,478)
	0,261 0,000 0,000 - 0,739 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,452
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,452
3.	Double, take	-1,684	-1,232
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (45,9%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	6/2(2) 5/1(2)	-0,221
			0,367 0,000 0,000 - 0,633 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	6/2 5/1(3)	-0,270 ( -0,050)
			0,344 0,000 0,000 - 0,656 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	5/1(4)	-0,466 ( -0,245)
			0,255 0,000 0,000 - 0,745 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Nice roll. I may win from here with reasonably good rolls.

Move number 50: falafelBG to play 13

Pip counts: falafelBG 14, juggler 16
Position ID: GwMAgOsAAAAAAA Match ID: EYFsAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 3/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	3/off 1/off	+0,116
			0,584 0,000 0,000 - 0,416 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	3/2 3/off	+0,099 ( -0,017)
			0,576 0,000 0,000 - 0,424 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	3/off 2/1	-0,179 ( -0,295)
			0,469 0,000 0,000 - 0,531 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 51: juggler to play 12

Pip counts: falafelBG 10, juggler 16
Position ID: awAAwMYAAAAAAA Match ID: UYloAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 2/off 1/off

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,167	(Money: -0,167)
	0,416 0,000 0,000 - 0,584 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,116
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,116
3.	Double, take	-0,847	-0,732
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (39,6%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	2/off 1/off	-0,371
			0,301 0,000 0,000 - 0,699 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	5/3 1/off	-0,662 ( -0,291)
			0,169 0,000 0,000 - 0,831 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	5/4 2/off	-0,689 ( -0,319)
			0,155 0,000 0,000 - 0,845 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	0	5/4 5/3	-0,712 ( -0,342)
			0,144 0,000 0,000 - 0,856 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	2/1 2/off	-0,771 ( -0,401)
			0,114 0,000 0,000 - 0,886 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Annotation

This is not a reasonably good roll ;-).

Move number 52: falafelBG to play 32

Pip counts: falafelBG 10, juggler 13
Position ID: xQAAYA0AAAAAAA Match ID: EYFpAQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 3/off 2/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	2	3/1 3/off	+0,291
			0,662 0,000 0,000 - 0,338 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	??	2	3/off 2/off	+0,291 ( +0,000)
			0,662 0,000 0,000 - 0,338 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 53: juggler to play 14

Pip counts: falafelBG 5, juggler 13
Position ID: EwAAUAwAAAAAAA Match ID: UYlwAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 5/off

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,324	(Money: -0,324)
	0,338 0,000 0,000 - 0,662 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,291
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,291
3.	Double, take	-0,986	-0,695
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (35,0%)

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,516)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/off	-0,809
			0,096 0,000 0,000 - 0,904 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	5/4 5/1	-0,856 ( -0,048)
			0,072 0,000 0,000 - 0,928 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	2	5/1 2/1	-0,904 ( -0,096)
			0,048 0,000 0,000 - 0,952 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Rolling high here would have given me a recube provided falafel doesn't finish.

Move number 54: falafelBG to play 36

Pip counts: falafelBG 5, juggler 8
Position ID: RQAAMAEAAAAAAA Match ID: EYF5AQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 3/off 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	3/off 1/off	+0,778
			0,889 0,000 0,000 - 0,111 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Move number 55: juggler to play 13

Pip counts: falafelBG 1, juggler 8
Position ID: AQAAFAEAAAAAAA Match ID: UYlsAQAAAAAA

• juggler moves 5/1

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		-0,778	(Money: -0,778)
	0,111 0,000 0,000 - 0,889 0,000 0,000
Cubeful equities:
	2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.	No double	-0,778
2.	Double, pass	+1,000	+1,778
3.	Double, take	-1,593	-0,815
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (31,4%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	5/1	-1,000
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	2	5/2 1/off	-1,000 ( +0,000)
			0,000 0,000 0,000 - 1,000 0,000 0,000
			2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Move number 56: falafelBG to play 36

Pip counts: falafelBG 1, juggler 4
Position ID: CwAAEAAAAAAAAA Match ID: EYF5AQAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 1/off

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	0	1/off	+1,000
			1,000 0,000 0,000 - 0,000 0,000 0,000
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

falafelBG wins 2 points

Game statistics for game 1
Player	falafelBG	juggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves	27	27
Unforced moves	24	27
Unmarked moves	27	26
Moves marked doubtful	0	1
Moves marked bad	0	0
Moves marked very bad	0	0
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,051 ( -0,317%)	-0,080 ( -0,394%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-2,1 ( -0,013%)	-2,9 ( -0,015%)
Chequerplay rating	World class	World class
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky	1	0
Rolls marked lucky	1	1
Rolls unmarked	24	24
Rolls marked unlucky	1	2
Rolls marked very unlucky	0	0
Luck total EMG (MWC)	-0,077 ( -1,031%)	-1,289 (-11,042%)
Luck rate mEMG (MWC)	-2,8 ( -0,038%)	-47,7 ( -0,409%)
Luck rating	None	Bad dice, man!
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions	18	27
Close or actual cube decisions	2	6
Doubles	1	0
Takes	0	1
Passes	0	0
Missed doubles below CP (EMG (MWC))	0	1 (-0,118 ( -0,586%))
Missed doubles above CP (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong doubles below DP (EMG (MWC))	1 (-0,106 ( -0,525%))	0
Wrong doubles above TG (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong takes (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Wrong passes (EMG (MWC))	0	0
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,106 ( -0,525%)	-0,118 ( -0,586%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-53,0 ( -0,262%)	-19,7 ( -0,098%)
Cube decision rating	Awful!	Casual player
Overall statistics
Error total EMG (MWC)	-0,157 ( -0,842%)	-0,198 ( -0,980%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC)	-6,0 ( -0,032%)	-6,0 ( -0,030%)
Snowie error rate	-2,9 ( +0,000%)	-3,7 ( +0,000%)
Overall rating	Expert	Expert
Actual result	+9,90%	-9,90%
Luck adjusted result	-0,11%	+0,11%
Luck based FIBS rating diff.	-1,20
Error based abs. FIBS rating	1983,3	2001,1
Chequerplay errors rating loss	23,4	32,8
Cube errors rating loss	43,3	16,1

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Output generated Mon May 11 11:45:45 2009 by GNU Backgammon 0.90-mingw 20090403 (HTML Export version 1.211)