Game number 4

The score (after 3 games) is: falafelBG 7, juggler 0 (match to 11 points)


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Match Information

DateMai 09, 2009
EventFibsLeaGammon Exhibition Match 2009
PlaceFIBS
Annotatorjuggler
CommentFranck "Tomawaky" Del Rio, the organizer of FibsLeaGammon, managed to arrange a public match between Matvey "Falafel" Natanzon and the winner of the 2009 Masters Tournament. A few good rolls got me in that position and I had the honor to play the No 1 of the BG Giants List.

My late grandmother would have said "That's the way you play with students!" and laughed her head off. Falafel was much politer :-).

Move number 1: falafelBG to play 23

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|5O ' ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 3       | 1 |                 |
|5X ' ' '3O '|   |5O ' ' ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 167, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPwATDgc/ABMA Match ID: MABtAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 24/21 13/11

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/21 13/11 -0,123
  0,513 0,140 0,007 - 0,487 0,134 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 24/22 13/10 -0,143 ( -0,020)
  0,506 0,138 0,006 - 0,494 0,134 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 13/11 13/10 -0,143 ( -0,020)
  0,506 0,153 0,007 - 0,494 0,137 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 24/22 24/21 -0,178 ( -0,055)
  0,500 0,128 0,007 - 0,500 0,138 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 13/8 -0,186 ( -0,064)
  0,497 0,137 0,006 - 0,503 0,141 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 2: juggler to play 42

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|5O1X ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 2       |
|4X ' ' '3O '|   |5O '1X ' '1X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 162, juggler 167
Position ID: 4HPkASLgc/ABMA Match ID: cAlqAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 8/4* 6/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,063(Money: -0,035)
 0,487 0,134 0,004 - 0,513 0,140 0,007
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,123 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,877
3.Double, take -0,046 -0,169
Proper cube action:No double, take (16,1%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 8/4* 6/4 +0,411
  0,548 0,182 0,009 - 0,452 0,118 0,005  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  2 0 13/9 6/4* +0,089 ( -0,322)
  0,479 0,135 0,006 - 0,521 0,158 0,010  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  3 0 24/20 6/4* +0,080 ( -0,331)
  0,482 0,121 0,006 - 0,518 0,147 0,006  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  4 0 24/22 8/4* +0,026 ( -0,385)
  0,466 0,122 0,005 - 0,534 0,154 0,006  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  5 0 13/11 8/4* +0,022 ( -0,389)
  0,462 0,130 0,006 - 0,538 0,166 0,011  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 3: falafelBG to play 14

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|5O1X ' '3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       1 4       | 1 |                 |
|4X ' ' '2O '|   |4O '2O ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 166, juggler 161
Position ID: mGfwATDgc+QBUA Match ID: MIFwAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/24 13/9

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,156(Money: -0,176)
 0,447 0,116 0,005 - 0,553 0,182 0,008
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,446 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,446
3.Double, take -1,888 -1,442
Proper cube action:No double, take (49,9%)

 

Alert: doubtful move ( -0,066)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 bar/20 -0,435
  0,449 0,119 0,007 - 0,551 0,185 0,009  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 2 bar/24 13/9 -0,502 ( -0,066)
  0,436 0,127 0,006 - 0,564 0,184 0,012  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/24 11/7 -0,627 ( -0,191)
  0,413 0,110 0,005 - 0,587 0,197 0,013  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 bar/24 8/4 -0,671 ( -0,235)
  0,411 0,113 0,005 - 0,589 0,208 0,016  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 bar/24 6/2 -0,691 ( -0,255)
  0,405 0,109 0,004 - 0,595 0,205 0,015  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 4: juggler to play 23

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|5O1X '1X3X '|   |5X ' ' ' '2O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       2 3       |
|3X ' ' '2O '|   |4O '2O ' '2X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 161, juggler 161
Position ID: 4HPJATCYZ/ABMA Match ID: cAltAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/22 13/10

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,171(Money: +0,192)
 0,564 0,184 0,012 - 0,436 0,127 0,006
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,502 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,498
3.Double, take +0,475 -0,027
Proper cube action:No double, take (5,1%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 13/11 13/10 +0,405
  0,543 0,181 0,012 - 0,457 0,142 0,008  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 24/21 13/11 +0,397 ( -0,008)
  0,547 0,171 0,011 - 0,453 0,143 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
3 2 24/22 13/10 +0,373 ( -0,032)
  0,543 0,170 0,010 - 0,457 0,141 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 13/8 +0,297 ( -0,108)
  0,525 0,163 0,009 - 0,475 0,149 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 24/21 6/4 +0,286 ( -0,119)
  0,524 0,159 0,010 - 0,476 0,145 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 5: falafelBG to play 15

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O1X '1X3X '|   |5X ' '1O '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       1 5       | 1 |                 |
|3X '1O '2O '|   |4O '2O ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 161, juggler 156
Position ID: mGfiASTgc8kBMA Match ID: MIF0AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 9/3*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,093(Money: -0,119)
 0,457 0,141 0,006 - 0,543 0,170 0,010
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,373 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,373
3.Double, take -1,891 -1,517
Proper cube action:No double, take (52,5%)

 

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0,451)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 11/6 9/8 -0,742
  0,388 0,101 0,003 - 0,612 0,200 0,010  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 2 9/3* -0,754 ( -0,013)
  0,399 0,113 0,005 - 0,601 0,217 0,017  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 13/8 9/8 -0,780 ( -0,039)
  0,384 0,104 0,003 - 0,616 0,205 0,012  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 9/8 6/1* -0,783 ( -0,041)
  0,389 0,103 0,003 - 0,611 0,212 0,014  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 24/23 8/3* -0,815 ( -0,073)
  0,408 0,122 0,007 - 0,592 0,249 0,024  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 6: juggler to play 25

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O1X ' '3X '|   |5X ' '1X '1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       2 5       |
|3X '1O '2O '|   |4O '2O ' '2X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 155, juggler 159
Position ID: xOfIATCYZ+IBUA Match ID: cAl1AXAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/20 24/22*

Alert: missed double ( -0,048)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,303(Money: +0,318)
 0,601 0,217 0,017 - 0,399 0,113 0,005
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.Double, take +0,754 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,246
3.No double +0,706 -0,048
Proper cube action:Double, take

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/20 24/22* +0,818
  0,639 0,234 0,023 - 0,361 0,085 0,002  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  2 0 bar/23 13/8 +0,479 ( -0,339)
  0,567 0,188 0,014 - 0,433 0,135 0,005  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  3 0 bar/20 13/11 +0,466 ( -0,352)
  0,567 0,181 0,014 - 0,433 0,139 0,006  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  4 0 bar/18 +0,406 ( -0,412)
  0,558 0,166 0,012 - 0,442 0,146 0,005  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  5 0 bar/20 10/8 +0,399 ( -0,419)
  0,555 0,165 0,011 - 0,445 0,132 0,004  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 7: falafelBG to play 33

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O1X ' '3X '|   |5X1O '1O ' '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       3 3       | 1 |                 |
|3X '1O '2O '|   |4O '2O ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 177, juggler 152
Position ID: mGfiAQngc+QAWA Match ID: MIFtAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/22 8/5* 6/3*(2)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,452(Money: -0,459)
 0,361 0,089 0,003 - 0,639 0,248 0,026
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,901 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,901
3.Double, take -2,082 -1,181
Proper cube action:No double, take (38,3%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,600)

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/22 8/5* 6/3*(2) -0,200
  0,509 0,196 0,011 - 0,491 0,177 0,016  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/22 11/5* 8/5 -0,246 ( -0,045)
  0,486 0,157 0,007 - 0,514 0,155 0,008  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/22 8/5*(2) 6/3* -0,255 ( -0,054)
  0,501 0,195 0,011 - 0,499 0,188 0,020  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 bar/22 8/5*(3) -0,380 ( -0,180)
  0,461 0,149 0,007 - 0,539 0,175 0,012  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 bar/22 11/8 6/3*(2) -0,506 ( -0,305)
  0,428 0,116 0,004 - 0,572 0,170 0,009  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Annotation
Interesting. I would always think that making the 5 and slotting the 3 is superior, but apparently not with the way the spare checkers are placed.

Move number 8: juggler to play 42

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O1X ' '2X '|   |3X1X '2X ' '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 2       |
|3X '1O '2O '|   |4O '2O1X '2X|
|                   | 2O|                   |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 165, juggler 160
Position ID: TGfkADKYZ+IBYA Match ID: cAlqAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/23 bar/21

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,069(Money: -0,032)
 0,491 0,177 0,016 - 0,509 0,196 0,011
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,200 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,800
3.Double, take +0,095 -0,106
Proper cube action:No double, take (11,7%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/23 bar/21 +0,266
  0,509 0,178 0,017 - 0,491 0,179 0,009  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 9: falafelBG to play 46

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|4O1X ' '2X '|   |3X1X1O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 6       | 1 |                 |
|3X '1O '2O '|   |4O '2O1X '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 165, juggler 154
Position ID: mGfiARJMZ+QAMg Match ID: MAF6AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 22/18 11/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,006(Money: -0,039)
 0,484 0,177 0,009 - 0,516 0,177 0,015
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,286 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,286
3.Double, take -1,841 -1,554
Proper cube action:No double, take (54,7%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 22/18 11/5 -0,232
  0,494 0,162 0,007 - 0,506 0,159 0,010  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 11/5 6/2* -0,241 ( -0,009)
  0,492 0,183 0,009 - 0,508 0,166 0,011  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 24/20 11/5 -0,241 ( -0,010)
  0,492 0,168 0,009 - 0,508 0,170 0,009  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 11/5 8/4* -0,246 ( -0,014)
  0,503 0,204 0,012 - 0,497 0,191 0,020  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 13/9 11/5 -0,326 ( -0,094)
  0,474 0,177 0,009 - 0,526 0,179 0,014  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 10: juggler to play 43

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|4O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X1O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 3       |
|3X '1O '2O1X|   |4O '2O ' '2X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 155, juggler 154
Position ID: zM7gIDCYZ+IBEg Match ID: cAluAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 13/9 10/7*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,021(Money: +0,011)
 0,506 0,159 0,010 - 0,494 0,162 0,007
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,232 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,768
3.Double, take +0,113 -0,119
Proper cube action:No double, take (13,4%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 13/9 10/7* +0,161
  0,481 0,174 0,014 - 0,519 0,212 0,017  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 10/7*/3 +0,054 ( -0,107)
  0,465 0,152 0,011 - 0,535 0,206 0,012  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 13/10 13/9 -0,012 ( -0,172)
  0,452 0,147 0,010 - 0,548 0,221 0,013  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 21/18 10/6 -0,064 ( -0,225)
  0,448 0,130 0,009 - 0,552 0,228 0,009  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 10/7* 8/4 -0,099 ( -0,260)
  0,429 0,143 0,010 - 0,571 0,231 0,020  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 11: falafelBG to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X1O2X1O '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       6 5       | 1 |                 |
|3X ' '1O2O1O|   |4O '2O ' '2X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 162, juggler 147
Position ID: mNfCARLMzuAAWA Match ID: MAF3AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/20 24/18*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,119(Money: +0,078)
 0,519 0,212 0,017 - 0,481 0,174 0,014
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,161 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,161
3.Double, take -1,366 -1,205
Proper cube action:No double, take (50,9%)

 

Alert: lucky roll! ( +0,446)

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 bar/20 24/18* +0,357
  0,626 0,262 0,022 - 0,374 0,109 0,004  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  2 0 bar/20 8/2* -0,293 ( -0,650)
  0,490 0,231 0,022 - 0,510 0,203 0,023  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  3 0 bar/14 -0,318 ( -0,675)
  0,472 0,166 0,008 - 0,528 0,176 0,012  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  4 0 bar/20 13/7 -0,701 ( -1,058)
  0,427 0,163 0,011 - 0,573 0,245 0,026  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 12: juggler to play 14

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X1O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       1 4       |
|3X ' '1O2O1X|   |4O1X2O ' '1X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 151, juggler 165
Position ID: zM7gICGYZ+EASQ Match ID: cIlwAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/21 6/5*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,469(Money: -0,415)
 0,368 0,105 0,004 - 0,632 0,243 0,018
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,371 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,371
3.Double, take -0,723 -0,352
Proper cube action:No double, take (20,5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/21 6/5* -0,108
  0,433 0,127 0,006 - 0,567 0,227 0,016  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/21 9/8 -0,183 ( -0,074)
  0,412 0,091 0,002 - 0,588 0,133 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/24 9/5* -0,199 ( -0,091)
  0,408 0,128 0,007 - 0,592 0,245 0,022  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 bar/24 13/9 -0,281 ( -0,173)
  0,392 0,105 0,004 - 0,608 0,213 0,013  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 bar/21 8/7* -0,309 ( -0,200)
  0,393 0,111 0,005 - 0,607 0,275 0,029  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 13: falafelBG to play 23

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X1O '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       2 3       | 1 |                 |
|3X ' '1O2O1X|   |3O1O2O ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 156, juggler 160
Position ID: WGfhABPMzuAgUA Match ID: MAFtAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/20*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,292(Money: +0,244)
 0,567 0,227 0,016 - 0,433 0,127 0,006
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,108 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,892
3.Double, take -0,606 -0,714
Proper cube action:No double, take (44,5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/20* +0,411
  0,633 0,255 0,016 - 0,367 0,092 0,003  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/22 18/16* +0,369 ( -0,042)
  0,622 0,265 0,018 - 0,378 0,100 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 0 bar/22 24/22 -0,185 ( -0,596)
  0,495 0,143 0,005 - 0,505 0,142 0,004  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  4 0 bar/23 18/15 -0,312 ( -0,723)
  0,477 0,150 0,007 - 0,523 0,180 0,009  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  5 0 bar/22 13/11 -0,500 ( -0,911)
  0,453 0,153 0,008 - 0,547 0,225 0,016  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 14: juggler to play 54

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       5 4       |
|3X ' '1O2O1X|   |3O1X2O ' '1X|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 151, juggler 180
Position ID: zM7gICGYs3CASQ Match ID: cIlyAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/21 9/4

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,500(Money: -0,442)
 0,367 0,092 0,003 - 0,633 0,255 0,016
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,411 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,411
3.Double, take -0,775 -0,364
Proper cube action:No double, take (20,5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/21 9/4 -0,368
  0,368 0,082 0,002 - 0,632 0,179 0,007  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/16 -0,394 ( -0,026)
  0,380 0,089 0,003 - 0,620 0,273 0,021  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/21 13/8 -0,424 ( -0,056)
  0,366 0,083 0,002 - 0,634 0,242 0,014  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 bar/21 23/18 -0,425 ( -0,057)
  0,372 0,082 0,003 - 0,628 0,256 0,014  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 bar/21 6/1* -0,506 ( -0,138)
  0,356 0,083 0,003 - 0,644 0,296 0,023  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 15: falafelBG to play 44

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X3O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       4 4       | 1 |                 |
|3X ' ' '2O1X|   |3O1X3O ' '1X|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 151, juggler 171
Position ID: OGdwgBPMzuAgIQ Match ID: MAFyAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 24/16 20/16 18/14

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,408(Money: +0,367)
 0,632 0,179 0,007 - 0,368 0,082 0,002
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,368 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,632
3.Double, take +0,025 -0,343
Proper cube action:No double, take (35,2%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 24/20 18/6 +0,564
  0,678 0,206 0,006 - 0,322 0,064 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 2 24/16 20/16 18/14 +0,563 ( -0,001)
  0,688 0,181 0,006 - 0,312 0,070 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 24/20 13/9(3) +0,549 ( -0,014)
  0,674 0,185 0,005 - 0,326 0,058 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 24/20 18/14 13/5 +0,528 ( -0,035)
  0,667 0,211 0,007 - 0,333 0,068 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 24/20 18/10 6/2* +0,446 ( -0,117)
  0,651 0,190 0,006 - 0,349 0,076 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 16: juggler to play 62

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|3O ' ' '2X '|   |3X2X3O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 2       |
|3X1X '2X2O '|   |3O '3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 135, juggler 171
Position ID: zM7gMgA4Z3CAEw Match ID: cAlrAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 21/15 13/11*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,533(Money: -0,490)
 0,312 0,070 0,001 - 0,688 0,181 0,006
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,562 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,562
3.Double, take -1,049 -0,487
Proper cube action:No double, take (23,7%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 21/15 13/11* -0,422
  0,360 0,092 0,003 - 0,640 0,232 0,016  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 13/11*/5 -0,447 ( -0,025)
  0,350 0,091 0,003 - 0,650 0,227 0,013  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 21/13 -0,570 ( -0,149)
  0,309 0,054 0,001 - 0,691 0,131 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 13/5 -0,596 ( -0,174)
  0,307 0,061 0,001 - 0,693 0,172 0,007  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 23/21 13/7 -0,599 ( -0,177)
  0,302 0,051 0,001 - 0,698 0,120 0,003  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 17: falafelBG to play 35

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|2O '1O '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X1O '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       3 5       | 1 |                 |
|3X1O '2X2O '|   |3O '3O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 146, juggler 163
Position ID: OGdkAhPMzuAYQA Match ID: MIF1AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/20 13/10*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,485(Money: +0,433)
 0,640 0,232 0,016 - 0,360 0,092 0,003
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,422 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,578
3.Double, take +0,054 -0,367
Proper cube action:No double, take (38,9%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/20 13/10* +0,693
  0,700 0,272 0,016 - 0,300 0,070 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/22 13/8 +0,376 ( -0,316)
  0,640 0,184 0,007 - 0,360 0,090 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 0 bar/20 6/3 +0,233 ( -0,460)
  0,607 0,175 0,006 - 0,393 0,111 0,003  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  4 0 bar/22 6/1 +0,193 ( -0,499)
  0,604 0,176 0,006 - 0,396 0,126 0,003  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  5 0 bar/20 16/13 +0,002 ( -0,690)
  0,558 0,169 0,008 - 0,442 0,152 0,005  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 18: juggler to play 23

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|2O '1X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X1O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       2 3       |
|2X1O '2X2O '|   |3O1X3O ' ' '|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 138, juggler 173
Position ID: zM7EGAI4Z2SASQ Match ID: cAltAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/23 11/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,679(Money: -0,615)
 0,300 0,070 0,002 - 0,700 0,272 0,016
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,693 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,693
3.Double, take -1,153 -0,461
Proper cube action:No double, take (21,4%)

 

Alert: bad move ( -0,089)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 bar/23 8/5* -0,481
  0,360 0,084 0,002 - 0,640 0,287 0,025  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 2 bar/23 11/8 -0,570 ( -0,089)
  0,321 0,070 0,001 - 0,679 0,219 0,010  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/23 6/3 -0,619 ( -0,138)
  0,326 0,061 0,001 - 0,674 0,266 0,017  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 bar/23 4/1 -0,706 ( -0,225)
  0,306 0,058 0,001 - 0,694 0,277 0,017  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 bar/23 13/10 -0,831 ( -0,350)
  0,316 0,042 0,001 - 0,684 0,370 0,037  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Annotation
I was somewhat timid ;-). Wanted to get some board before I started to hit (was sure I'd get hits from my backgame or the mid point eventually). The hit is nice if it works though, and if not I play the backgame anyway, right?

Move number 19: falafelBG to play 16

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|2O '1X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       1 6       | 1 |                 |
|2X ' '2X3O '|   |3O1X3O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 138, juggler 168
Position ID: OOdggBnMzsQYAg Match ID: MIF4AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 16/15 16/10

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,566(Money: +0,515)
 0,679 0,219 0,010 - 0,321 0,070 0,001
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,570 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,430
3.Double, take +0,420 -0,150
Proper cube action:No double, take (25,9%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 16/15 16/10 +0,638
  0,695 0,233 0,013 - 0,305 0,075 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 20/13 +0,629 ( -0,009)
  0,698 0,205 0,009 - 0,302 0,071 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 16/10 6/5 +0,564 ( -0,073)
  0,678 0,248 0,015 - 0,322 0,085 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 20/14 10/9 +0,548 ( -0,090)
  0,682 0,221 0,012 - 0,318 0,087 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 20/14 6/5 +0,497 ( -0,141)
  0,670 0,225 0,012 - 0,330 0,095 0,003  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 20: juggler to play 14

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|2O '2X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       1 4       |
|2X '1X '3O '|   |3O1X3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 131, juggler 168
Position ID: zM6MCQI452CAGQ Match ID: cIlwAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 13/9 6/5*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,613(Money: -0,559)
 0,305 0,075 0,002 - 0,695 0,233 0,013
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,638 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,638
3.Double, take -1,097 -0,459
Proper cube action:No double, take (21,9%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 13/9 6/5* -0,637
  0,333 0,064 0,001 - 0,667 0,300 0,024  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 8/4 6/5* -0,699 ( -0,063)
  0,311 0,059 0,001 - 0,689 0,275 0,019  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 8/3 -0,700 ( -0,063)
  0,295 0,054 0,001 - 0,705 0,211 0,010  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 6/2 4/3 -0,734 ( -0,097)
  0,291 0,053 0,001 - 0,709 0,231 0,012  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 6/5*/1 -0,757 ( -0,120)
  0,290 0,061 0,001 - 0,710 0,260 0,014  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 21: falafelBG to play 32

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|1O '2X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X2O '|
|                   | 1X|                   |
|       3 2       | 1 |                 |
|2X '1X1O3O '|   |2O1O3O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 136, juggler 163
Position ID: uOZCgBnMzowJQA Match ID: MIFpAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves bar/20*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,661(Money: +0,592)
 0,667 0,300 0,024 - 0,333 0,064 0,001
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,637 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,363
3.Double, take +0,475 -0,162
Proper cube action:No double, take (30,9%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/20* +0,942
  0,723 0,336 0,028 - 0,277 0,041 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/23 15/12* +0,828 ( -0,114)
  0,708 0,314 0,024 - 0,292 0,055 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/22 15/13 +0,551 ( -0,391)
  0,677 0,237 0,014 - 0,323 0,084 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 0 bar/23 6/3 +0,396 ( -0,546)
  0,641 0,224 0,014 - 0,359 0,099 0,003  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  
  5 0 bar/23 13/10 +0,379 ( -0,563)
  0,640 0,222 0,015 - 0,360 0,104 0,003  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 22: juggler to play 15

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|1O '2X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       1 5       |
|2X '1X1O3O '|   |2O1X3O ' ' '|
|                   | 1O|                   |
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 131, juggler 183
Position ID: zM6MCQI4cyHATA Match ID: cIl0AXAAAAAA

• juggler moves bar/24 13/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,847(Money: -0,768)
 0,277 0,041 0,001 - 0,723 0,336 0,028
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,942 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,942
3.Double, take -1,376 -0,434
Proper cube action:No double, take (18,3%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 bar/24 13/8 -0,755
  0,307 0,043 0,001 - 0,693 0,290 0,019  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 bar/24 8/3 -0,862 ( -0,107)
  0,311 0,037 0,001 - 0,689 0,368 0,040  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 bar/24 9/4 -0,936 ( -0,181)
  0,291 0,034 0,000 - 0,709 0,322 0,024  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 bar/24 6/1 -1,000 ( -0,245)
  0,285 0,028 0,000 - 0,715 0,424 0,053  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 bar/24 23/18 -1,000 ( -0,245)
  0,298 0,036 0,001 - 0,702 0,483 0,082  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 23: falafelBG to play 53

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' '2X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X2O1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 3       | 1 |                 |
|2X '1X1O4O '|   |2O1X3O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 131, juggler 177
Position ID: OPMCwCzMzowJAg Match ID: MIFuAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 20/12

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,721(Money: +0,652)
 0,693 0,290 0,019 - 0,307 0,043 0,001
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,755 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,245
3.Double, take +0,748 -0,007
Proper cube action:No double, take (2,7%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 20/12 +0,903
  0,730 0,257 0,014 - 0,270 0,042 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 20/15 13/10 +0,886 ( -0,017)
  0,728 0,251 0,013 - 0,272 0,042 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 13/10 13/8 +0,767 ( -0,136)
  0,698 0,294 0,022 - 0,302 0,053 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 15/12 6/1* +0,749 ( -0,154)
  0,705 0,301 0,020 - 0,295 0,065 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 20/15 6/3 +0,740 ( -0,163)
  0,709 0,249 0,013 - 0,291 0,051 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 24: juggler to play 23

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|1X '2X '2X '|   |3X2X2O2X2O1O|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       2 3       |
|2X '1X1O4O '|   |2O '3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 123, juggler 177
Position ID: zM5MEwA48wLALA Match ID: cAltAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 24/21 8/6

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,751(Money: -0,690)
 0,270 0,042 0,001 - 0,730 0,257 0,014
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,903 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,903
3.Double, take -1,365 -0,462
Proper cube action:No double, take (19,5%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 24/21 8/6 -0,727
  0,302 0,038 0,000 - 0,698 0,226 0,009  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 8/6 8/5 -0,737 ( -0,010)
  0,302 0,044 0,001 - 0,698 0,251 0,013  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 9/7 8/5 -0,756 ( -0,029)
  0,299 0,041 0,000 - 0,701 0,254 0,013  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 24/21 9/7 -0,760 ( -0,033)
  0,296 0,035 0,000 - 0,704 0,224 0,008  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 24/21 4/2 -0,761 ( -0,035)
  0,297 0,037 0,000 - 0,703 0,236 0,010  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 25: falafelBG to play 65

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
|1X '2X '2X '|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 5       | 1 |                 |
|2X '1X1O3O '|   |3O '3O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 123, juggler 172
Position ID: OOcCwBnMzkwTAA Match ID: MAF3AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 13/7 12/7

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,647(Money: +0,593)
 0,698 0,226 0,009 - 0,302 0,038 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,727 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,273
3.Double, take +0,716 -0,010
Proper cube action:No double, take (3,6%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 13/7 12/7 +0,954
  0,739 0,242 0,010 - 0,261 0,026 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 15/10 12/6 +0,786 ( -0,168)
  0,709 0,242 0,011 - 0,291 0,038 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 13/8 12/6 +0,769 ( -0,185)
  0,708 0,237 0,010 - 0,292 0,042 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 15/9 12/7 +0,707 ( -0,247)
  0,699 0,250 0,014 - 0,301 0,062 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 13/8 13/7 +0,707 ( -0,247)
  0,700 0,247 0,012 - 0,300 0,061 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 26: juggler to play 32

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' '2X '2X2X|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       3 2       |
|1X '1X1O3O '|   |3O '3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 112, juggler 172
Position ID: zG4zEgA45wLAGQ Match ID: cIlpAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 9/7 8/5

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,762(Money: -0,703)
 0,261 0,026 0,000 - 0,739 0,242 0,010
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,954 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,954
3.Double, take -1,439 -0,485
Proper cube action:No double, take (19,9%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 8/5 4/2 -0,728
  0,310 0,033 0,000 - 0,690 0,234 0,008  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
2 2 9/7 8/5 -0,734 ( -0,005)
  0,308 0,032 0,000 - 0,692 0,231 0,007  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 8/3 -0,758 ( -0,030)
  0,304 0,031 0,000 - 0,696 0,232 0,007  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 8/6 8/5 -0,766 ( -0,037)
  0,302 0,031 0,000 - 0,698 0,229 0,007  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 9/7 6/3 -0,782 ( -0,053)
  0,301 0,029 0,000 - 0,699 0,236 0,007  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 27: falafelBG to play 32

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' '2X '2X2X|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       3 2       | 1 |                 |
|1X '1X '2O1O|   |3O1O3O ' ' '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 112, juggler 167
Position ID: uK4BwBnMbjMSAA Match ID: MIFpAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 13/8

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,646(Money: +0,589)
 0,692 0,231 0,007 - 0,308 0,032 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,734 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,266
3.Double, take +0,719 -0,015
Proper cube action:No double, take (5,2%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 15/12 13/11 +0,927
  0,735 0,231 0,009 - 0,265 0,026 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 15/10 +0,908 ( -0,018)
  0,733 0,226 0,009 - 0,267 0,026 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
3 2 13/8 +0,897 ( -0,030)
  0,731 0,226 0,009 - 0,269 0,027 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 6/1 +0,822 ( -0,104)
  0,720 0,243 0,010 - 0,280 0,042 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 13/11 6/3 +0,820 ( -0,107)
  0,714 0,234 0,009 - 0,286 0,033 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 28: juggler to play 33

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' '2X '3X2X|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       3 3       |
| ' '1X '2O1O|   |3O1O3O ' ' '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 107, juggler 167
Position ID: zG5nEAC4rgHAGQ Match ID: cIltAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 8/2 8/5 6/3

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,724(Money: -0,669)
 0,269 0,027 0,000 - 0,731 0,226 0,009
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,897 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,897
3.Double, take -1,390 -0,493
Proper cube action:No double, take (20,6%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/2 8/5 6/3 -0,946
  0,269 0,029 0,000 - 0,731 0,222 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 8/5(2) 7/4 6/3 -0,952 ( -0,006)
  0,269 0,027 0,000 - 0,731 0,217 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 8/5(2) 6/3(2) -0,987 ( -0,041)
  0,263 0,030 0,000 - 0,737 0,227 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 8/2 8/5 7/4 -0,989 ( -0,043)
  0,264 0,027 0,000 - 0,736 0,219 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 8/5(2) 7/1 -0,999 ( -0,053)
  0,261 0,029 0,000 - 0,739 0,223 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 29: falafelBG to play 35

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' '2X '3X2X|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       3 5       | 1 |                 |
| ' '1X ' '1O|   |2O2O3O1O1O '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 107, juggler 155
Position ID: 6rYAwBnMbmcQAA Match ID: MIF1AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 15/7

Alert: missed double ( -0,068)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,715(Money: +0,660)
 0,731 0,222 0,006 - 0,269 0,029 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.Double, take +0,946 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,054
3.No double +0,878 -0,068
Proper cube action:Double, take

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 15/7 +0,944
  0,755 0,212 0,007 - 0,245 0,027 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 15/10 8/5 +0,936 ( -0,008)
  0,751 0,219 0,008 - 0,249 0,029 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 15/12 6/1 +0,904 ( -0,040)
  0,746 0,227 0,008 - 0,254 0,035 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 15/12 8/3 +0,900 ( -0,044)
  0,740 0,227 0,009 - 0,260 0,032 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 10/7 10/5 +0,899 ( -0,045)
  0,735 0,220 0,009 - 0,265 0,030 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 30: juggler to play 32

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' '2X '3X3X|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       3 2       |
| ' ' ' ' '1O|   |2O2O3O1O1O '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 99, juggler 155
Position ID: zO7OAADqtgDAGQ Match ID: cIlpAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 7/2

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,753(Money: -0,701)
 0,245 0,027 0,000 - 0,755 0,212 0,007
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,944 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,944
3.Double, take -1,494 -0,550
Proper cube action:No double, take (22,0%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 7/2 -0,864
  0,279 0,033 0,000 - 0,721 0,219 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 6/3 4/2 -0,916 ( -0,052)
  0,272 0,031 0,000 - 0,728 0,219 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 7/5 6/3 -0,940 ( -0,076)
  0,270 0,030 0,000 - 0,730 0,225 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 7/5 4/1 -0,941 ( -0,077)
  0,269 0,032 0,000 - 0,731 0,226 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 7/4 5/3 -1,000 ( -0,136)
  0,262 0,027 0,000 - 0,738 0,231 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 31: falafelBG to play 54

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' '2X '3X3X|   |3X2X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       5 4       | 1 |                 |
| ' ' ' ' ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 99, juggler 150
Position ID: 1m0AwBnM7s4AAA Match ID: MIFyAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 10/6 10/5

Alert: missed double ( -0,040)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,686(Money: +0,632)
 0,721 0,219 0,005 - 0,279 0,033 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.Double, take +0,864 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,136
3.No double +0,824 -0,040
Proper cube action:Double, take

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 10/6 10/5 +0,948
  0,759 0,207 0,007 - 0,241 0,022 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 7/3 6/1 +0,798 ( -0,150)
  0,720 0,226 0,007 - 0,280 0,038 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 8/3 7/3 +0,797 ( -0,151)
  0,719 0,227 0,008 - 0,281 0,036 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 10/5 7/3 +0,736 ( -0,212)
  0,705 0,230 0,010 - 0,295 0,045 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 10/6 8/3 +0,730 ( -0,217)
  0,705 0,224 0,009 - 0,295 0,043 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 32: juggler to play 46

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' ' ' '3X3X|   |4X3X3O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       4 6       |
| ' ' ' ' ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 90, juggler 150
Position ID: zL07AADWbQDAGQ Match ID: cAl6AXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 21/11

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,760(Money: -0,709)
 0,241 0,022 0,000 - 0,759 0,207 0,007
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,948 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,948
3.Double, take -1,524 -0,576
Proper cube action:No double, take (22,8%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 21/11 -0,790
  0,283 0,032 0,000 - 0,717 0,172 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 21/15 5/1 -0,985 ( -0,195)
  0,258 0,027 0,000 - 0,742 0,196 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 21/15 6/2 -1,000 ( -0,210)
  0,245 0,022 0,000 - 0,755 0,197 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 33: falafelBG to play 66

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' ' ' '3X3X|   |4X3X2O2X2O '|
|                   |   |                   |
|       6 6       | 1 |                 |
| '1O ' ' ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 90, juggler 140
Position ID: 1m0QgBnMvTsAAA Match ID: MAF7AXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 7/1(3)

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,620(Money: +0,578)
 0,717 0,172 0,004 - 0,283 0,032 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double +0,790 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,210
3.Double, take +0,784 -0,006
Proper cube action:No double, take (2,6%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 0 7/1(3) +0,667
  0,688 0,211 0,005 - 0,312 0,034 0,000  
  0-ply cubeful prune [expert]  

Move number 34: juggler to play 65

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' ' ' '3X '|   |4X3X2O2X2O3X|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       6 5       |
| '1O ' ' ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 72, juggler 140
Position ID: Z+45AADWbRCAGQ Match ID: cAl3AXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 21/16 21/15

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,616(Money: -0,568)
 0,299 0,034 0,000 - 0,701 0,197 0,004
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,728 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,728
3.Double, take -1,219 -0,491
Proper cube action:No double, take (22,1%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 21/16 21/15 -0,812
  0,280 0,017 0,000 - 0,720 0,129 0,002  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 21/10 -0,943 ( -0,131)
  0,280 0,020 0,000 - 0,720 0,228 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 21/15 11/6 -0,953 ( -0,141)
  0,278 0,020 0,000 - 0,722 0,224 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 21/16 11/5 -0,959 ( -0,147)
  0,279 0,021 0,000 - 0,721 0,234 0,006  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 11/5 6/1 -1,000 ( -0,188)
  0,249 0,021 0,000 - 0,751 0,243 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 35: falafelBG to play 23

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' '1O1O3X '|   |4X3X '2X2O3X|
|                   |   |                   |
|       2 3       | 1 |                 |
| '1O ' ' ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 72, juggler 129
Position ID: 1m0QChhn7jkAAA Match ID: MAFtAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG moves 8/3

Alert: missed double ( -0,047)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,586(Money: +0,554)
 0,720 0,129 0,002 - 0,280 0,017 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.Double, take +0,812 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,188
3.No double +0,765 -0,047
Proper cube action:Double, take

 

# Ply Move Equity
1 2 8/3 +0,775
  0,732 0,103 0,002 - 0,268 0,030 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 6/3 5/3 +0,579 ( -0,196)
  0,696 0,087 0,001 - 0,304 0,036 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 6/1 +0,574 ( -0,201)
  0,699 0,084 0,001 - 0,301 0,044 0,000  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 2 8/6 8/5 +0,540 ( -0,235)
  0,649 0,173 0,011 - 0,351 0,028 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 8/5 6/4 +0,461 ( -0,314)
  0,648 0,147 0,008 - 0,352 0,053 0,001  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 36: juggler to play 23

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' '1O1O2X '|   |4X3X '3X2O3X|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |       2 3       |
| '1O ' ' ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 67, juggler 129
Position ID: 59wzAADWbRAKGA Match ID: cAltAXAAAAAA

• juggler moves 15/12 11/9

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity -0,563(Money: -0,538)
 0,268 0,030 0,000 - 0,732 0,103 0,002
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.No double -0,775 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +1,775
3.Double, take -1,323 -0,548
Proper cube action:No double, take (23,6%)

 

# Ply Move Equity
  1 2 15/13 11/8 -0,845
  0,280 0,018 0,000 - 0,720 0,142 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 2 11/6 -0,849 ( -0,004)
  0,279 0,017 0,000 - 0,721 0,136 0,004  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 2 16/13 11/9 -0,852 ( -0,007)
  0,279 0,017 0,000 - 0,721 0,140 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
4 2 15/12 11/9 -0,852 ( -0,007)
  0,279 0,017 0,000 - 0,721 0,142 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  5 2 16/14 11/8 -0,854 ( -0,009)
  0,279 0,017 0,000 - 0,721 0,140 0,005  
  2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  

Move number 37: falafelBG on roll, cube decision?

+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+
| ' ' '1O2X '|   |4X3X '3X2O3X|
|                   |   |                   |
|                 | 1 |                 |
|1O ' '1O ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 67, juggler 124
Position ID: 1m1ECBjn3DMAAA Match ID: MAFgAXAAAAAA

• falafelBG doubles

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,606(Money: +0,571)
 0,721 0,142 0,005 - 0,279 0,017 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.Double, take +0,852 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,148
3.No double +0,735 -0,117
Proper cube action:Double, take

 


Move number 38: falafelBG doubles to 2

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| ' ' '1O2X '|   |4X3X '3X2O3X|
|                   |   |                   |
|       [2]       |   |                 |
|1O ' '1O ' '|   |2O2O3O1O2O '|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: falafelBG 67, juggler 124
Position ID: 1m1ECBjn3DMAAA Match ID: MBlgAXAAAAAA

• juggler rejects

Alert: wrong pass ( -0,148)!

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0,606(Money: +0,571)
 0,721 0,142 0,005 - 0,279 0,017 0,000
Cubeful equities:
 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
1.Double, take +0,852 
2.Double, pass +1,000 +0,148
3.No double +0,735 -0,117
Proper cube action:Double, take

 


Annotation
Ah well, a take. I didn't like it, but the score makes it more attractive. In a money game it is still a take, but closer.

falafelBG wins 1 point

Game statistics for game 4
PlayerfalafelBGjuggler
Checker play statistics
Total moves 18 18
Unforced moves 17 17
Unmarked moves 17 17
Moves marked doubtful 1 0
Moves marked bad 0 1
Moves marked very bad 0 0
Error total EMG (MWC) -0,110 ( -0,384%) -0,133 ( -0,465%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -6,5 ( -0,023%) -7,8 ( -0,027%)
Chequerplay rating Expert Expert
Luck statistics
Rolls marked very lucky 0 0
Rolls marked lucky 2 0
Rolls unmarked 15 18
Rolls marked unlucky 1 0
Rolls marked very unlucky 0 0
Luck total EMG (MWC) +1,193 ( +4,160%) -0,111 ( -0,388%)
Luck rate mEMG (MWC) +66,3 ( +0,231%) -6,2 ( -0,022%)
Luck rating Go to Las Vegas None
Cube statistics
Total cube decisions 18 19
Close or actual cube decisions 9 5
Doubles 1 0
Takes 0 0
Passes 0 1
Missed doubles below CP (EMG (MWC)) 3 (-0,154 ( -0,538%)) 1 (-0,048 ( -0,168%))
Missed doubles above CP (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong doubles below DP (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong doubles above TG (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong takes (EMG (MWC)) 0 0
Wrong passes (EMG (MWC)) 0 1 (-0,148 ( -0,516%))
Error total EMG (MWC) -0,154 ( -0,538%) -0,196 ( -0,684%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -17,1 ( -0,060%) -39,2 ( -0,137%)
Cube decision rating Intermediate Awful!
Overall statistics
Error total EMG (MWC) -0,264 ( -0,922%) -0,329 ( -1,149%)
Error rate mEMG (MWC) -10,2 ( -0,035%) -15,0 ( -0,052%)
Snowie error rate -7,3 ( +0,000%) -9,2 ( +0,000%)
Overall rating Advanced Intermediate
Actual result +4,00% -4,00%
Luck adjusted result -0,55% +0,55%
Luck based FIBS rating diff. -5,76
Error based abs. FIBS rating 1964,0 1930,8
Chequerplay errors rating loss 72,0 87,2
Cube errors rating loss 14,0 32,0

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